Profit/Loss
Past Day

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
97.9¢
99.8¢

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
74.5¢
71.5¢

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
20.1¢
76¢

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
88¢
92.5¢

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?
88.1¢
93¢

Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
30.6¢
27¢

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?
74.5¢
83.8¢

Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
27.9¢
13.5¢

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
71.5¢
81¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
70.6¢
83.6¢

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
90¢
82.5¢

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
63¢
73¢

Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
75.9¢
78.5¢

Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Will Trump nationalize elections?

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
40¢
41.5¢

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
93.7¢
95.6¢

Will the next model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1480?

