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Montaigne

Joined Feb 2026·31 views

Nothing is so firmly believed as what we least know.

$38.5K

Positions Value

$4,524.88

Biggest Win

68

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$697.69
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
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Netanyahu out by June 30?

No 84¢
14,999.9 shares
$14,174.92$1,575.31 (12.5%)
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US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?

No 78.5¢
5,968.4 shares
$4,625.51-$62.44 (-1.33%)
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Iran leadership change by April 30?

No 88¢
2,766.7 shares
$2,649.10$214.22 (8.8%)
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Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?

No 85.2¢
2,628.9 shares
$2,301.64$60.51 (2.7%)
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Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?

No 97.8¢
2,307.4 shares
$2,243.97-$11.92 (-0.53%)
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GTA VI released before June 2026?

No 97.7¢
1,765.8 shares
$1,741.91$17.22 (1%)
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Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Yes 59.1¢
4,637.4 shares
$1,298.46-$1,442.97 (-52.64%)
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Yes 97.3¢
1,276.2 shares
$1,234.05-$7.12 (-0.57%)
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Trump out as President before 2027?

No 84¢
1,169.5 shares
$976.52-$5.85 (-0.6%)
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 88.4¢
1,131.4 shares
$937.96-$62.01 (-6.2%)
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Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 81¢
1,100.0 shares
$885.49-$5.50 (-0.62%)
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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 72.2¢
800.0 shares
$760.37$182.40 (31.56%)
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Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 87.8¢
400.0 shares
$395.40$44.31 (12.62%)
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?

Yes 89.1¢
421.0 shares
$391.11$15.94 (4.25%)
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Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

No 95.4¢
400.0 shares
$388.79$7.02 (1.84%)
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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?

No 88.4¢
374.2 shares
$356.25$25.40 (7.68%)
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?

No 81¢
360.0 shares
$322.18$30.49 (10.45%)
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Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 58.9¢
460.0 shares
$310.48$39.70 (14.66%)
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Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Yes 72.3¢
400.0 shares
$310.00$20.81 (7.19%)
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

No 90.3¢
300.0 shares
$285.60$14.60 (5.39%)
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

No 94.3¢
281.6 shares
$269.62$4.01 (1.51%)
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 26¢
884.8 shares
$261.01$30.97 (13.46%)
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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

No 84.7¢
300.0 shares
$256.50$2.50 (0.98%)
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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?

No 98.4¢
240.0 shares
$235.20-$1.07 (-0.45%)
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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

No 94¢
231.5 shares
$229.50$11.92 (5.48%)
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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Yes 84.6¢
236.6 shares
$202.28$2.18 (1.09%)
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Netanyahu out by April 30?

No 96.3¢
120.1 shares
$119.42$3.82 (3.31%)
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Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?

No 99.4¢
101.8 shares
$101.15-$0.07 (-0.07%)
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Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Yes 46¢
200.0 shares
$87.00-$5.00 (-5.43%)
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Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?

No 93¢
40.0 shares
$37.40$0.20 (0.54%)