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Winter predictions & odds

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Dota 2: WinteR SquadronS vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

Dota 2: WinteR SquadronS vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage

100%

GLYPH

$10.0K Vol.

$477 Liq.

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

13%

$14.3K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

15

Ends in 8 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

82%

50

$18.3K Vol.

$7.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

84%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.7K Liq.

33

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

71%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

57%

<4m sq km

$48.6K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

6

Ends in 5 months

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

60%

$568K Vol.

$21.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

40%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

19%

Kawhi / Leonard

$106K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

48

Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above __?

Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above __?

96%

$1.25B

$6.0K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

Ends in 10 days

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

33%

December 31

$7.1K Vol.

$220K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12

96%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$21.8K Liq.

51

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

19%

$61.7K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

11

Ends in 8 months

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

23%

$1M Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

66

Ends in 9 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$19.1K Liq.

10

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs HOTU (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

HOTU

$9.4K Vol.

$0 Liq.

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

What price will edgeX hit in 2026?

53%

↑ $1.80

$1.5K Vol.

$436 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

What will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit in 2026?

43%

↓ 30

$21.8K Vol.

$266 Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

87%

$137K Vol.

$3.0K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Winter.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Winter that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Dota 2: WinteR SquadronS vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $7.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Nothing Ever Happens: 2026”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 84% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Winter predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.