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Medal Count predictions & odds

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Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?

85%

Hong Wang

$519K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

73%

$4.7K Vol.

$1.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

63%

80-99

$10.4K Vol.

$4.5K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

46%

60-79

$7.4K Vol.

$7.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

84%

180-199

$117K Vol.

$29.9K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

White House # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

White House # posts May 8 - May 15, 2026?

36%

180-199

$15.5K Vol.

$50.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

35%

160-179

$4.1K Vol.

$34.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Khamenei # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

96%

<5

$9.0K Vol.

$7.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

41%

7

$1M Vol.

$131K Liq.

31

Ends in 8 months

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

Khamenei # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

72%

<5

$3.6K Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

UEFA Champions League: Most Cards

UEFA Champions League: Most Cards

96%

Declan Rice

$3.8K Vol.

$17 Liq.

1

Ends in 19 days

CZ # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

CZ # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

61%

20-39

$2.1K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

34%

5

$7M Vol.

$360K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top ___?

83%

50

$18.1K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will the NYT front-page headlines say this week? (May 4 - May 10)

5%

Street

$72.7K Vol.

$60.6K today

$9.9K Liq.

29

Bhutan Tri-Series: Bhutan Women vs Malaysia Women - Most Sixes

Bhutan Tri-Series: Bhutan Women vs Malaysia Women - Most Sixes

-

$130 Vol.

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

85%

$2.7K Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

100%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

$519K Vol.

$80.7K Liq.

10

NYC Mayor # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

NYC Mayor # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

98%

20-39

$72.6K Vol.

$44.3K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

59%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)

$15.2K Vol.

$44.5K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for Medal Count that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Who will win the 2026 Fields Medal?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $9.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 34% chance to 5. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Medal Count predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.