Scottie Scheffler's entry as the clear favorite at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities shapes the market, with the World No. 1 arriving off a strong fourth-place finish at The Open Championship and seeking his second victory of the season on a course that rewards consistent ball-striking and approach play. Defending champion Kurt Kitayama returns seeking a repeat after his dominant 2025 performance, while contenders like Maverick McNealy and Hideki Matsuyama add depth to a field where recent form, TPC Twin Cities scoring averages, and FedEx Cup positioning influence outcomes. The event's timing in mid-July, combined with potential Minnesota weather variables and the strength of the top of the leaderboard, creates a compressed range for top-20 finishes among mid-tier players with solid recent results or course history. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics through implied probabilities tied to verifiable performance trends rather than speculation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$78,614 Vol.
Gary Woodland
100%
Scottie Scheffler
93%
Jackson Koivun
76%
Michael Brennan
53%
Emiliano Grillo
52%
Kevin Roy
52%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Tom Kim
33%
Denny McCarthy
43%
Jake Knapp
41%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
41%
Sam Stevens
35%
Rico Hoey
35%
Jackson Suber
33%
Lee Hodges
26%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
32%
Jesper Svensson
32%
Chandler Phillips
32%
Billy Horschel
31%
Nick Dunlap
31%
Kristoffer Ventura
30%
Davis Thompson
29%
Hideki Matsuyama
28%
Matt Kuchar
27%
Zac Blair
27%
David Skinns
26%
Michael Kim
26%
Brian Harman
25%
Austin Smotherman
25%
Tom Hoge
25%
Maverick McNealy
24%
Keita Nakajima
24%
Takumi Kanaya
24%
Mark Hubbard
24%
Keith Mitchell
24%
Corey Conners
24%
Max Greyserman
24%
Trace Crowe
23%
Seamus Power
23%
Vince Whaley
23%
Adam Hadwin
22%
Casey Jarvis
22%
David Lipsky
22%
Preston Stout
22%
Kevin Yu
22%
Jimmy Stanger
21%
John Parry
21%
Ryder Cowan
21%
Benjamin James
20%
Andrew Putnam
19%
Beau Hossler
19%
Chad Ramey
19%
Luke Clanton
19%
Hao-Tong Li
19%
Doug Ghim
19%
Max McGreevy
18%
Johnny Keefer
18%
Ze-Cheng Dou
18%
Neal Shipley
18%
Brandt Snedeker
18%
Pierceson Coody
17%
Austin Eckroat
17%
Lanto Griffin
16%
Thorbjorn Olesen
15%
Steven Fisk
15%
A.J. Ewart
15%
Pontus Nyholm
14%
Chris Kirk
14%
Jordan L. Smith
13%
Stephan Jaeger
13%
Taylor Pendrith
13%
Zach Bauchou
12%
Sung-Jae Im
12%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
12%
Hayden Springer
12%
William Mouw
12%
Karl Vilips
12%
Taylor Moore
11%
Garrick Higgo
11%
Matthieu Pavon
11%
Joel Dahmen
11%
Aaron Wise
11%
Aldrich Potgieter
11%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
11%
Ricky Castillo
10%
Harry Higgs
9%
Patrick Fishburn
9%
Erik Van Rooyen
9%
Cameron Champ
6%
Gordon Sargent
9%
Mackenzie Hughes
9%
Max Homa
8%
Patrick Rodgers
5%
Tony Finau
5%
Mac Meissner
3%
Luke List
3%
Jason Day
<1%
S.Y. Noh
<1%
Ben Kohles
45%
Lucas Glover
35%
$78,614 Vol.
Gary Woodland
100%
Scottie Scheffler
93%
Jackson Koivun
76%
Michael Brennan
53%
Emiliano Grillo
52%
Kevin Roy
52%
Kurt Kitayama
50%
Tom Kim
33%
Denny McCarthy
43%
Jake Knapp
41%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
41%
Sam Stevens
35%
Rico Hoey
35%
Jackson Suber
33%
Lee Hodges
26%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
32%
Jesper Svensson
32%
Chandler Phillips
32%
Billy Horschel
31%
Nick Dunlap
31%
Kristoffer Ventura
30%
Davis Thompson
29%
Hideki Matsuyama
28%
Matt Kuchar
27%
Zac Blair
27%
David Skinns
26%
Michael Kim
26%
Brian Harman
25%
Austin Smotherman
25%
Tom Hoge
25%
Maverick McNealy
24%
Keita Nakajima
24%
Takumi Kanaya
24%
Mark Hubbard
24%
Keith Mitchell
24%
Corey Conners
24%
Max Greyserman
24%
Trace Crowe
23%
Seamus Power
23%
Vince Whaley
23%
Adam Hadwin
22%
Casey Jarvis
22%
David Lipsky
22%
Preston Stout
22%
Kevin Yu
22%
Jimmy Stanger
21%
John Parry
21%
Ryder Cowan
21%
Benjamin James
20%
Andrew Putnam
19%
Beau Hossler
19%
Chad Ramey
19%
Luke Clanton
19%
Hao-Tong Li
19%
Doug Ghim
19%
Max McGreevy
18%
Johnny Keefer
18%
Ze-Cheng Dou
18%
Neal Shipley
18%
Brandt Snedeker
18%
Pierceson Coody
17%
Austin Eckroat
17%
Lanto Griffin
16%
Thorbjorn Olesen
15%
Steven Fisk
15%
A.J. Ewart
15%
Pontus Nyholm
14%
Chris Kirk
14%
Jordan L. Smith
13%
Stephan Jaeger
13%
Taylor Pendrith
13%
Zach Bauchou
12%
Sung-Jae Im
12%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
12%
Hayden Springer
12%
William Mouw
12%
Karl Vilips
12%
Taylor Moore
11%
Garrick Higgo
11%
Matthieu Pavon
11%
Joel Dahmen
11%
Aaron Wise
11%
Aldrich Potgieter
11%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
11%
Ricky Castillo
10%
Harry Higgs
9%
Patrick Fishburn
9%
Erik Van Rooyen
9%
Cameron Champ
6%
Gordon Sargent
9%
Mackenzie Hughes
9%
Max Homa
8%
Patrick Rodgers
5%
Tony Finau
5%
Mac Meissner
3%
Luke List
3%
Jason Day
<1%
S.Y. Noh
<1%
Ben Kohles
45%
Lucas Glover
35%
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Scottie Scheffler's entry as the clear favorite at the 2026 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities shapes the market, with the World No. 1 arriving off a strong fourth-place finish at The Open Championship and seeking his second victory of the season on a course that rewards consistent ball-striking and approach play. Defending champion Kurt Kitayama returns seeking a repeat after his dominant 2025 performance, while contenders like Maverick McNealy and Hideki Matsuyama add depth to a field where recent form, TPC Twin Cities scoring averages, and FedEx Cup positioning influence outcomes. The event's timing in mid-July, combined with potential Minnesota weather variables and the strength of the top of the leaderboard, creates a compressed range for top-20 finishes among mid-tier players with solid recent results or course history. Trader consensus reflects these dynamics through implied probabilities tied to verifiable performance trends rather than speculation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions