The 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities features a deep field where recent form, course history, and ball-striking consistency keep probabilities tightly grouped among numerous contenders. Multiple players enter with comparable recent results on similar parkland layouts, strong strokes-gained metrics around the greens, and prior top finishes at the event, including defending or recent champions like Kurt Kitayama alongside veterans such as Tony Finau and Hideki Matsuyama. The venue's emphasis on accuracy off the tee and approach play, combined with variable Minnesota summer conditions, reduces separation between the top half of the field. This setup produces the current bunched trader consensus, as no single golfer holds a clear edge in schedule strength or momentum entering the week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 27%
Kurt Kitayama 3.0%
Maverick McNealy 2.9%
Tom Kim 2.6%
$38,067 Vol.
$38,067 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
27%
Kurt Kitayama
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Tom Kim
3%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Jake Knapp
2%
Jackson Koivun
2%
Corey Conners
2%
Doug Ghim
2%
Jackson Suber
2%
Max Homa
1%
Casey Jarvis
1%
Benjamin James
1%
Ben Kohles
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Jordan L. Smith
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Brian Harman
1%
William Mouw
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Sam Stevens
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Michael Brennan
1%
Michael Kim
1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
1%
Jason Day
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Taylor Moore
1%
Preston Stout
1%
Andrew Putnam
1%
Denny McCarthy
1%
Zac Blair
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Max Greyserman
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Kevin Yu
1%
Lucas Glover
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Hayden Springer
1%
Keita Nakajima
1%
Austin Smotherman
1%
Kristoffer Ventura
1%
Gordon Sargent
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Steven Fisk
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Jesper Svensson
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Austin Eckroat
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Seamus Power
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Garrick Higgo
1%
Brandt Snedeker
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
John Parry
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Joel Dahmen
1%
Nick Dunlap
1%
Aaron Wise
1%
Matt Kuchar
1%
Tom Hoge
1%
Karl Vilips
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
David Lipsky
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Ryder Cowan
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
David Skinns
<1%
Trace Crowe
<1%
S.Y. Noh
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Erik Van Rooyen
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Cameron Champ
<1%
Harry Higgs
<1%
Lanto Griffin
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Vince Whaley
<1%
Adam Hadwin
<1%
Luke List
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 27%
Kurt Kitayama 3.0%
Maverick McNealy 2.9%
Tom Kim 2.6%
$38,067 Vol.
$38,067 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
27%
Kurt Kitayama
3%
Maverick McNealy
3%
Tom Kim
3%
Keith Mitchell
2%
Hideki Matsuyama
2%
Jake Knapp
2%
Jackson Koivun
2%
Corey Conners
2%
Doug Ghim
2%
Jackson Suber
2%
Max Homa
1%
Casey Jarvis
1%
Benjamin James
1%
Ben Kohles
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Jordan L. Smith
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Brian Harman
1%
William Mouw
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Gary Woodland
1%
Sam Stevens
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Michael Brennan
1%
Michael Kim
1%
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
1%
Jason Day
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Taylor Moore
1%
Preston Stout
1%
Andrew Putnam
1%
Denny McCarthy
1%
Zac Blair
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Max Greyserman
1%
Davis Thompson
1%
Kevin Yu
1%
Lucas Glover
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Aldrich Potgieter
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Hayden Springer
1%
Keita Nakajima
1%
Austin Smotherman
1%
Kristoffer Ventura
1%
Gordon Sargent
1%
Chad Ramey
1%
Steven Fisk
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Jesper Svensson
1%
Hao-Tong Li
1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
1%
Taylor Pendrith
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Austin Eckroat
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Seamus Power
1%
Chris Kirk
1%
Garrick Higgo
1%
Brandt Snedeker
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
John Parry
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Joel Dahmen
1%
Nick Dunlap
1%
Aaron Wise
1%
Matt Kuchar
1%
Tom Hoge
1%
Karl Vilips
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
David Lipsky
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Ryder Cowan
<1%
Neal Shipley
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
David Skinns
<1%
Trace Crowe
<1%
S.Y. Noh
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Erik Van Rooyen
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Cameron Champ
<1%
Harry Higgs
<1%
Lanto Griffin
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Vince Whaley
<1%
Adam Hadwin
<1%
Luke List
<1%
Jimmy Stanger
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the 3M Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 3M Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 1, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the 3M Open tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the 3M Open tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by August 1, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities features a deep field where recent form, course history, and ball-striking consistency keep probabilities tightly grouped among numerous contenders. Multiple players enter with comparable recent results on similar parkland layouts, strong strokes-gained metrics around the greens, and prior top finishes at the event, including defending or recent champions like Kurt Kitayama alongside veterans such as Tony Finau and Hideki Matsuyama. The venue's emphasis on accuracy off the tee and approach play, combined with variable Minnesota summer conditions, reduces separation between the top half of the field. This setup produces the current bunched trader consensus, as no single golfer holds a clear edge in schedule strength or momentum entering the week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions