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Lutnick predictions & odds

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Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

48%

$12.6K Vol.

$8.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

68%

Kash Patel

$1M Vol.

$151K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

38%

Tulsi Gabbard

$11.7K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

LoL: Lupus Esports vs REDPack Esports (BO3) - EBL Playoffs

LoL: Lupus Esports vs REDPack Esports (BO3) - EBL Playoffs

Lupus Esports

$1.7K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutet

Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutet

64%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$671 Vol.

$10.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. OGC Nice - More Markets

PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. OGC Nice - More Markets

-

$35.8K Vol.

Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad - More Markets

Rangers FC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad - More Markets

-

$101K Vol.

Hans Moke Niemann vs. Jan-Krzysztof Duda - GCT: Super Rapid & Blitz Poland 2026 | Blitz (Round 26)

Hans Moke Niemann vs. Jan-Krzysztof Duda - GCT: Super Rapid & Blitz Poland 2026 | Blitz (Round 26)

-

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

16%

$19.8K Vol.

$10.8K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

ITF Luan: Alina Tikhonova vs JiaYi Wang

ITF Luan: Alina Tikhonova vs JiaYi Wang

53%

Alina Tikhonova

$13 Vol.

$915 Liq.

Ends in 7 days

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

What floor price will Pudgy Penguins hit before 2027?

40%

↑ 10 ETH

$3.5K Vol.

$1.2K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

LoL: RAYN Clocks vs Arneb (BO3) - LJL Regular Season

LoL: RAYN Clocks vs Arneb (BO3) - LJL Regular Season

100%

Arneb

$8.7K Vol.

Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva

Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Vit Kopriva

72%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$8 Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in May 2026?

What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit in May 2026?

68%

↑ $140

$67.8K Vol.

$47.9K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

85%

$2.7K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in May 2026?

What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in May 2026?

77%

↓ 116

$53.9K Vol.

$54.0K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Yulia Putintseva vs Oleksandra Oliynykova

Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Yulia Putintseva vs Oleksandra Oliynykova

61%

Yulia Putintseva

$236 Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Counter-Strike: Clair Obscur vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Clair Obscur vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Clair Obscur

$4.9K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

86%

$2.3K Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

14%

$8.7K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 14 days

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 104 active markets for Lutnick that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Pam Bondi. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Lutnick predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.