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Likud predictions & odds

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Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

78%

$12 Vol.

$845 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

44%

25-29

$2 Vol.

$766 Liq.

Ends in 6 months

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?

15%

$1.1K Vol.

$28.0K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

39%

$837 Vol.

$25.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 2 months

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

14%

$1.4K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

11%

May 31

$799K Vol.

$25.7K Liq.

43

Ends in about 1 month

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

31%

$1 Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 6 months

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M Vol.

$256K today

$308K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

Israel false flag attack confirmed?

-

$1 Vol.

$141 Liq.

Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?

Israel enacts military exemption for Yeshiva students by Sep 30?

16%

$518 Vol.

$2.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

42%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$6M Vol.

$135K today

$658K Liq.

193

Ends in 8 months

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

34%

5

$7M Vol.

$423K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?

12%

$236K Vol.

$30.9K Liq.

9

Ends in 2 months

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

47%

$28.4K Vol.

$27.8K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

98%

2

$161K Vol.

$32.2K Liq.

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

19%

$173K Vol.

$27.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

Israeli parliament dissolved by...?

15%

June 30

$930K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

22

Ends in 2 months

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

1%

April 30

$79.7K Vol.

$10.4K Liq.

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

52%

No Change

$24.9K Vol.

$4.9K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

2026 United Kingdom Local Elections: Liberal Democrats wins ___ seats?

85%

600+

$14.7K Vol.

$29.7K Liq.

Ends in 6 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Likud.

Polymarket currently hosts 103 active markets for Likud that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Israel election: will Likud lose seats?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $135.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Likud predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.