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Billboard Hot 100 predictions & odds

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Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

90%

Mariah Carey

$139K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

How many spots will Drake have in the Billboard top 10?

How many spots will Drake have in the Billboard top 10?

49%

2

$1.1K Vol.

$1.4K Liq.

1

Ends in 22 days

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

How many albums will reach Billboard #1 in 2026?

40%

22–24

$13.2K Vol.

$195 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

Billboard #1 Artist 2026

45%

Ed Sheeran

$127K Vol.

$66.2K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?

Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?

11%

$6.2K Vol.

$512 Liq.

9

Ends in about 2 months

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

94%

Drake

$1.6K Vol.

$2.1K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?

98%

$7.9K Vol.

$3.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

Which artists will have #1 hits in May?

81%

Drake

$2.1K Vol.

$2.9K Liq.

Ends in 23 days

How many weeks will ICEMAN be No.1 on the Billboard 200?

How many weeks will ICEMAN be No.1 on the Billboard 200?

37%

4+

$14.2K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

#2 Spotify artist in May?

#2 Spotify artist in May?

80%

Lady Gaga

$1.4K Vol.

$2.6K Liq.

2

Ends in 23 days

Which artists will release a new song in 2026?

Which artists will release a new song in 2026?

100%

Drake

$108K Vol.

$2.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

56%

2

$3M Vol.

$99.0K Liq.

18

Ends in 8 months

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

Love Wins: 2026 Edition

12%

$4.7K Vol.

$91 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Top Spotify artist in May?

Top Spotify artist in May?

43%

Bruno Mars

$8.9K Vol.

$11.1K Liq.

1

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

What will Trump post this week? (May 4 - May 10)

69%

Ceasefire / Cease-fire / Cease fire

$3.9K Vol.

$217 Liq.

Ends in 2 days

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

41%

160-179

$37.2K Vol.

$28.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

What price will Hyperliquid hit in May?

68%

↑ 48

$8.8K Vol.

$14.6K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

What will be said on ICEMAN?

What will be said on ICEMAN?

84%

Covid

$57.0K Vol.

$4.4K Liq.

13

Ends in 7 days

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

What price will Pump.fun hit in 2026?

72%

↓ 0.0014

$107K Vol.

$8.3K Liq.

5

Ends in 8 months

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 7?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 7?

99%

$90

$69.3K Vol.

$68.8K today

$34.4K Liq.

Ends in about 1 hour

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Billboard Hot 100.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Billboard Hot 100 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will another AI-generated song reach number 1 on any Billboard chart by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 56% chance to 2. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Billboard Hot 100 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.