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2026 Song of the Summer

icon for 2026 Song of the Summer

2026 Song of the Summer

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 15%

New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless 3.8%

Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson 3.6%

Freakin' Out - Dexter and The Moonrocks 3.6%

Polymarket
NEW

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande 15%

New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless 3.8%

Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson 3.6%

Freakin' Out - Dexter and The Moonrocks 3.6%

Polymarket
NEW

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

$64 Vol.

15%

New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless

$103 Vol.

4%

Midnight Sun - Zara Larsson

$66 Vol.

4%

Freakin' Out - Dexter and The Moonrocks

$76 Vol.

4%

Babydoll - Dominic Fike

$131 Vol.

3%

Kingdom of Fear - Cameron Whitcomb

$142 Vol.

2%

Talk To You - ANOTR & 54 Ultra

$102 Vol.

2%

Bangaranga - DARA

$586 Vol.

2%

Raindance - Dave & Tems

$228 Vol.

2%

CHÉVERE - ARIA VEGA & Ryan Castro

$115 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).With no clear frontrunner among the field of contenders priced near even money, trader sentiment reflects the wide-open nature of the 2026 Song of the Summer race just days into the season. Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me,” released May 29 and recently topping the Billboard Hot 100, holds a modest edge at 46% implied probability thanks to its established streaming base and pop momentum, yet faces immediate competition from dance-leaning tracks like Bebe Rexha & Faithless’ “New Religion” and ANOTR & 54 Ultra’s “Talk To You,” plus global-leaning cuts such as ARIA VEGA & Ryan Castro’s “CHÉVERE.” Spotify’s May predictions and early Billboard data underscore how streaming velocity, viral TikTok traction, and genre diversity—ranging from nostalgic house to country crossovers—will determine which song pulls ahead as weekly chart updates and summer playlists solidify.

This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered.

If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive.

If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
Volume
$1,613
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).With no clear frontrunner among the field of contenders priced near even money, trader sentiment reflects the wide-open nature of the 2026 Song of the Summer race just days into the season. Ariana Grande’s “hate that i made you love me,” released May 29 and recently topping the Billboard Hot 100, holds a modest edge at 46% implied probability thanks to its established streaming base and pop momentum, yet faces immediate competition from dance-leaning tracks like Bebe Rexha & Faithless’ “New Religion” and ANOTR & 54 Ultra’s “Talk To You,” plus global-leaning cuts such as ARIA VEGA & Ryan Castro’s “CHÉVERE.” Spotify’s May predictions and early Billboard data underscore how streaming velocity, viral TikTok traction, and genre diversity—ranging from nostalgic house to country crossovers—will determine which song pulls ahead as weekly chart updates and summer playlists solidify.

This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026.

For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered.

If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive.

If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).
Volume
$1,613
End Date
Sep 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 4:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed song which holds the No.1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100 for the greatest number of weeks in the summer of 2026. For the purposes of this market, only Billboard Hot 100 charts with date labels for weeks in June, July, and August of 2026 will be considered. If more than one song is tied for greatest number of weeks in the No. 1 spot, this market will resolve in favor of the song whose title comes first in alphabetical order. Weeks in the No. 1 spot need not be consecutive. If the resolution source for this market becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 charts, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Song of the Summer" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" at 15%, followed by "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 15¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 Song of the Summer" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 Song of the Summer," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Song of the Summer" is "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" at 15%, meaning the market assigns a 15% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "New Religion - Bebe Rexha & Faithless" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Song of the Summer" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.