Trader consensus favors "Covid" at 70% and "Daddy" at 67% implied probability for mentions on Drake's ICEMAN album, driven by leaked snippets teasing pandemic-era reflections and paternal themes like "Daddy is home," aligning with the artist's introspective rollout style post-2025 beefs. The massive Toronto ice sculpture stunt on April 21—revealing a May 15 release date after fans' chaotic extraction—spiked "Toronto" to 58%, amplifying hometown pride amid 4.6 million likes on the announcement, Drake's most ever. Hip-hop fatigue caps "Kendrick/Lamar" at 46%, while low-volume bets like "Polymarket" linger as meta nods. With the full album dropping in under three weeks, final tracklists and transcripts will dictate resolutions, but pre-release hype underscores Drake's enduring chart dominance potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be said on ICEMAN?
What will be said on ICEMAN?
$29,017 Vol.
May 15, 2026
Trump / Obama
33%
Kendrick / Lamar
38%
Super Bowl
19%
Six Seven
16%
Nuclear / Nuke
31%
Pinocchio
40%
Russia
25%
2026
36%
Batman
32%
No No No
35%
Armani
37%
Polymarket
11%
Caleb
28%
Toronto
58%
Kanye
28%
Virgil
33%
Epstein
12%
Covid
67%
Daddy
76%
Delilah
36%
Kawhi / Leonard
15%
Timothee / Kylie
30%
LeBron / Bronny
30%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
46%
Crypto / Bitcoin
23%
$29,017 Vol.
Trump / Obama
$1,665 Vol.
33%
Kendrick / Lamar
$914 Vol.
38%
Super Bowl
$2,564 Vol.
19%
Six Seven
$742 Vol.
16%
Nuclear / Nuke
$1,366 Vol.
31%
Pinocchio
$824 Vol.
40%
Russia
$5 Vol.
25%
2026
$1,629 Vol.
36%
Batman
$35 Vol.
32%
No No No
$800 Vol.
35%
Armani
$1,064 Vol.
37%
Polymarket
$3,955 Vol.
11%
Caleb
$842 Vol.
28%
Toronto
$1,082 Vol.
58%
Kanye
$78 Vol.
28%
Virgil
$885 Vol.
33%
Epstein
$1,809 Vol.
12%
Covid
$5,444 Vol.
67%
Daddy
$1,919 Vol.
76%
Delilah
$21 Vol.
36%
Kawhi / Leonard
$10 Vol.
15%
Timothee / Kylie
$10 Vol.
30%
LeBron / Bronny
$883 Vol.
30%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$65 Vol.
46%
Crypto / Bitcoin
$409 Vol.
23%
Drake is expected to release his new album "ICEMAN" in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus favors "Covid" at 70% and "Daddy" at 67% implied probability for mentions on Drake's ICEMAN album, driven by leaked snippets teasing pandemic-era reflections and paternal themes like "Daddy is home," aligning with the artist's introspective rollout style post-2025 beefs. The massive Toronto ice sculpture stunt on April 21—revealing a May 15 release date after fans' chaotic extraction—spiked "Toronto" to 58%, amplifying hometown pride amid 4.6 million likes on the announcement, Drake's most ever. Hip-hop fatigue caps "Kendrick/Lamar" at 46%, while low-volume bets like "Polymarket" linger as meta nods. With the full album dropping in under three weeks, final tracklists and transcripts will dictate resolutions, but pre-release hype underscores Drake's enduring chart dominance potential.
Drake is expected to release his new album "ICEMAN" in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
Market Opened: Apr 22, 2026, 4:32 PM ET
Volume
$29,017End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Drake is expected to release his new album "ICEMAN" in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".Trader consensus favors "Covid" at 70% and "Daddy" at 67% implied probability for mentions on Drake's ICEMAN album, driven by leaked snippets teasing pandemic-era reflections and paternal themes like "Daddy is home," aligning with the artist's introspective rollout style post-2025 beefs. The massive Toronto ice sculpture stunt on April 21—revealing a May 15 release date after fans' chaotic extraction—spiked "Toronto" to 58%, amplifying hometown pride amid 4.6 million likes on the announcement, Drake's most ever. Hip-hop fatigue caps "Kendrick/Lamar" at 46%, while low-volume bets like "Polymarket" linger as meta nods. With the full album dropping in under three weeks, final tracklists and transcripts will dictate resolutions, but pre-release hype underscores Drake's enduring chart dominance potential.
Drake is expected to release his new album "ICEMAN" in 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone on the specified transcript for any track on the officially released full "ICEMAN" album. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes.
Samples or clips of audio where people are speaking or singing which are included in the album will qualify toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript. AI-generated audio will count toward this market's resolution so long as it is included in the specified transcript.
In the case a term is censored on a relevant transcript, audio may be consulted to verify that a qualifying mention occurred.
Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.
Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
This market will resolve according to the initial release of the full album on a qualifying streaming platform. Releases consisting only of individual songs or remixes released later will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be the audio transcripts for this album provided by the listed streaming platforms in the following order of priority: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, Amazon Music, Tidal (e.g., Spotify will be used unless it does not provide a necessary transcript, then Apple Music will be used, etc.).
If no such album is released in full by by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to based on what has been released up to that point. If the album is not released on any of the listed platforms by the specified end date, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$29,017End Date
May 15, 2026Market Opened
Apr 22, 2026, 4:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors "Covid" at 70% and "Daddy" at 67% implied probability for mentions on Drake's ICEMAN album, driven by leaked snippets teasing pandemic-era reflections and paternal themes like "Daddy is home," aligning with the artist's introspective rollout style post-2025 beefs. The massive Toronto ice sculpture stunt on April 21—revealing a May 15 release date after fans' chaotic extraction—spiked "Toronto" to 58%, amplifying hometown pride amid 4.6 million likes on the announcement, Drake's most ever. Hip-hop fatigue caps "Kendrick/Lamar" at 46%, while low-volume bets like "Polymarket" linger as meta nods. With the full album dropping in under three weeks, final tracklists and transcripts will dictate resolutions, but pre-release hype underscores Drake's enduring chart dominance potential.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions