Trump approval rating on May 16?
$270,056 Vol.
45%+ 100.0%
<43% <1%
43.0-43.4% <1%
43.5-43.9% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<43%
$67,253 Vol.
No
<43%
$67,253 Vol.
No
43.0-43.4%
$30,560 Vol.
No
43.0-43.4%
$30,560 Vol.
No
43.5-43.9%
$30,978 Vol.
No
43.5-43.9%
$30,978 Vol.
No
44.0-44.4%
$96,918 Vol.
No
44.0-44.4%
$96,918 Vol.
No
44.5-44.9%
$20,233 Vol.
No
44.5-44.9%
$20,233 Vol.
No
45%+
$24,114 Vol.
Yes
45%+
$24,114 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 16, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: May 9, 2025, 5:04 PM UTC
Volume
$270,056End Date
May 16, 2025Created At
May 9, 2025, 5:04 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$270,056 Vol.
Trump approval rating on May 16?
45%+ 100.0%
<43% <1%
43.0-43.4% <1%
43.5-43.9% <1%
<43%
$67,253 Vol.
No
43.0-43.4%
$30,560 Vol.
No
43.5-43.9%
$30,978 Vol.
No
44.0-44.4%
$96,918 Vol.
No
44.5-44.9%
$20,233 Vol.
No
45%+
$24,114 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$270,056End Date
May 16, 2025Created At
May 9, 2025, 5:04 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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