Trump approval rating on September 12?
$49,848 Vol.
44.5–44.9% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
43.5–43.9% <1%
44.0–44.4% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<43.5%
$6,780 Vol.
No
<43.5%
$6,780 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$5,498 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$5,498 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4%
$10,837 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4%
$10,837 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$15,965 Vol.
Yes
44.5–44.9%
$15,965 Vol.
Yes
45.0–45.4%
$5,238 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$5,238 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$5,529 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$5,529 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 12, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Sep 5, 2025, 5:01 PM UTC
Volume
$49,848End Date
Sep 12, 2025Created At
Sep 5, 2025, 5:01 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$49,848 Vol.
Trump approval rating on September 12?
44.5–44.9% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
43.5–43.9% <1%
44.0–44.4% <1%
<43.5%
$6,780 Vol.
No
43.5–43.9%
$5,498 Vol.
No
44.0–44.4%
$10,837 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$15,965 Vol.
Yes
45.0–45.4%
$5,238 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$5,529 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$49,848End Date
Sep 12, 2025Created At
Sep 5, 2025, 5:01 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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