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This is a market group over what Donald J. Trump will say during his rally in Aurora, Colorado scheduled for October 11, 2024.

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 20 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Border 20+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 30 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Border 30+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tax" 30 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "tax" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a compulsory financial charge imposed by a government authority.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Tax 30+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kamala" 30 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to US vice president Kamala Harris.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Kamala 30+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "China" 10 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "China" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the East Asian country officially named the People's Republic of China.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

China 10+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Sleepy Joe" or "Crooked Joe" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "fracking" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "frack" or "fracking" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the method of extracting fossil fuels.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Fracking 3+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "North Carolina" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "North Carolina" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the US state of North Carolina.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

North Carolina 3+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "hurricane" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "hurricane" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a storm with a violent wind, in particular a tropical cyclone in the Caribbean.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Hurricane 3+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "god" 2 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "god" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a superhuman being or spirit worshiped as having power over nature or human fortunes; a deity.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

God 2+ times

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "trans" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "trans" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person whose gender identity does not correspond with the sex registered for them at birth (e.g. "transgender" counts).

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Trans

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "drill baby drill" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Drill Baby Drill

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "missile defense shield" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Missile Defense Shield

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "FEMA" or "Federal Emergency Management Agency" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "FEMA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Federal Emergency Management Agency.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

FEMA

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "too big to rig" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Too Big To Rig

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Barack Hussein Obama" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Barack Hussein Obama

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts).

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Crypto/Bitcoin

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Reagan" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Reagan" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to former US president Ronald Reagan.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Reagan

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "death tax" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Death Tax

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Vance" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Vance" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to US vice presidential candidate JD Vance.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Vance

Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Hillary" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Compound words will count as long as "Hillary" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to former US presidential candidate Hillary Clinton.

If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the video of the event.

Hillary

What will Trump say during Colorado rally?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, any candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?

Donald Trump is set to make an appearance at the 48th Annual Kennedy Center Honors, which is scheduled to air on December 23, 2025 (https://www.npr.org/2025/12/05/nx-s1-5607173/kennedy-center-honors-trump).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled appearance at the Kennedy Center Honors event on December 7, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 23, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Trump" at the Kennedy Center Honors event?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit Florida in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump announces that he is running for a third term as US President by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Trump must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for a third term" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice. 

Past statements such his March 30 NBC phone interview where he stated "There are methods which you could do it, as you know... A lot of people want me to do it." or his November 13, 2024, where he stated "I suspect I won’t be running again unless you say, ‘He’s so good we’ve got to figure something else out.’" would NOT qualify. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trump announce run for 3rd term?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly endorses, or announces that he will vote for, JD Vance for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for the 2028 United States presidential election or the Republican primary for that election, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse Andy Barr for KY-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits North Korea between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly claims that any of the moon landings were faked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The claim must come directly from Trump via a verified social media account, official public statement, or during a recorded interview, speech, or rally. Indirect remarks, jokes, or quotes taken out of context will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used to confirm the legitimacy of such statements.

Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk serves any time in custody in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between June 5, and  December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump jail Elon Musk?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

On August 15, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin met in person at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson near Anchorage, Alaska, for a summit focused on potential peace terms in Ukraine. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Donald Trump on a separate occasion from the August 15, 2025 meeting by the listed date (ET).  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Encounters that are part of, or a continuation of, the August 15 meeting will not qualify, even if they occur on a different day (e.g. August 16).

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between November 19, 2025, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Polymarket" by December 31?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Washington Commanders, or the ownership/development entity responsible for the team’s planned new stadium in Washington, D.C., officially announce and agree that the stadium will be named after Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

A qualifying announcement must:
- Be made publicly and on the record by the Commanders organization or by the entity that owns or controls the new stadium (e.g., via press release, official statement, or filing).
- Clearly state that the new stadium will bear Trump’s name (for example, “Trump Stadium” or “Donald J. Trump Field”).
- Reflect a finalized agreement or naming-rights deal, not a proposal, negotiation, or expression of intent.

If any other official naming-rights deal is announced for the new stadium prior to June 30, 2026 — including a corporate sponsorship or another individual’s name — this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution sources will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is interviewed by Tucker Carlson between November 17, 2025 and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An interview is defined as a scheduled, recorded conversation where Donald Trump answers questions posed by Tucker Carlson. Press conferences or media briefings held by the White House with Carlson in attendance will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a credible consensus of reporting that Donald Trump has recorded an interview with Tucker Carlson before February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, even if that interview is not yet released.

The resolution source for this market will be publicly available video footage of the interview; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tucker Carlson interview Trump by February 28?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) announces that it has acquired more Bitcoin between July 24 11:00 ET, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order easing access to cannabis by December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any executive order signed within this market’s time frame that eases access to cannabis will qualify, for example, by rescheduling the substance from Schedule I to any other schedule (or fully descheduling it), or by decriminalizing its use for any group of people. Limited decriminalization, such as for research purposes only or for individuals with a specific medical condition, will suffice.

Other executive actions that are not executive orders will not qualify for this market’s resolution.

This market will use the Federal Register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).

Trump EO easing access or decriminalizing weed by Friday?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell publicly accuses Donald Trump of criminal wrongdoing between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, she must explicitly state that Trump committed one or more specific crimes, or clearly refer to him as a criminal and Trump must be named directly.

The accusation must be made Maxwell and made public within the specified date range. 

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of being a criminal?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of $TRUMP (https://solscan.io/token/6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN), either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy $TRUMP in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between September 30 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "No meeting by June 30" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Will the Democrats win the Colorado governor race in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Colorado.

If no 2026 Colorado Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Colorado Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?

The 2026 midterm elections for the US House of Representatives is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Republicans hold fewer seats in the House of Representatives for any state that Trump won in the 2024 US presidential election as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

Initial seat counts will be based on the composition of the US House of Representatives as of November 2, 2026, 11:59PM ET.

This market's resolution will be solely based on the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives for any state won by Trump in the 2024 Presidential election. The loss of particular district seats will not count towards a resolution for this market; only the total number of seats held by the Republican Party in a given state will be considered. (e.g. The loss of a particular district's seat by the Republican Party followed by the gain of another district's seat would not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes".)

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

For the purposes of this market, states won by Trump in the 2024 Presidential election include Alabama, Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. This list is determined by the winner of the electoral votes for each state in the 2024 Presidential election. In states such as Maine and Nebraska, where electoral votes are allocated separately by congressional districts as well as to the statewide winner, only the electoral votes allocated to the statewide winner are considered.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell publicly accuses Donald Trump of sexual misconduct between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, she must explicitly state that Trump engaged in sexual misconduct, or clearly describe behavior that meets that description. Sexual misconduct includes, but is not limited to, sexual harassment, sexual assault, unwanted advances, infidelity, affairs, or pedophilia. Trump must be named directly.

The accusation must be made by Maxwell and made public within the specified date range.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting

Ghislaine Maxwell accuses Trump of sexual misconduct?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping, Vladimir Putin, and Kim Jong Un all meet with Donald Trump between October 24, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both the listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon Roger Ver before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

What will Trump say during Colorado rally?

Border 20+ times
$89,640 Vol.
Yes

Border 30+ times
$632,379 Vol.
Yes

Tax 30+ times
$31,440 Vol.
No

Kamala 30+ times
$19,816 Vol.
No

China 10+ times
$28,155 Vol.
No

Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times
$31,280 Vol.
No

Fracking 3+ times
$27,349 Vol.
No

North Carolina 3+ times
$10,083 Vol.
No

Hurricane 3+ times
$25,142 Vol.
No

God 2+ times
$22,714 Vol.
Yes

Trans
$25,594 Vol.
No

Drill Baby Drill
$40,179 Vol.
Yes

Missile Defense Shield
$38,703 Vol.
No

FEMA
$61,963 Vol.
Yes

Too Big To Rig
$14,082 Vol.
No

Barack Hussein Obama
$27,639 Vol.
No

Crypto/Bitcoin
$100,889 Vol.
No

Reagan
$9,156 Vol.
No

Death Tax
$8,864 Vol.
No

Vance
$25,642 Vol.
Yes

Hillary
$17,128 Vol.
Yes

Market Context

What will Trump say during Colorado rally?

Rules

What will Trump say during Colorado rally?

Market Context

What will Trump say during Colorado rally?

About

Related

What will Trump say during Colorado rally?

Border 20+ times$89,640 Vol.Yescircle check

Border 30+ times$632,379 Vol.Yescircle check

Tax 30+ times$31,440 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Kamala 30+ times$19,816 Vol.Nocircle xmark

China 10+ times$28,155 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times$31,280 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Fracking 3+ times$27,349 Vol.Nocircle xmark

North Carolina 3+ times$10,083 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Hurricane 3+ times$25,142 Vol.Nocircle xmark

God 2+ times$22,714 Vol.Yescircle check

Trans$25,594 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Drill Baby Drill$40,179 Vol.Yescircle check

Missile Defense Shield$38,703 Vol.Nocircle xmark

FEMA$61,963 Vol.Yescircle check

Too Big To Rig$14,082 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Barack Hussein Obama$27,639 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Crypto/Bitcoin$100,889 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Reagan$9,156 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Death Tax$8,864 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Vance$25,642 Vol.Yescircle check

Hillary$17,128 Vol.Yescircle check

Market Context

What will Trump say during Colorado rally?

Rules

What will Trump say during Colorado rally?

Market Context

What will Trump say during Colorado rally?

About

Related

Border 20+ times
$89,640 Vol.
Yes

Border 30+ times
$632,379 Vol.
Yes

Tax 30+ times
$31,440 Vol.
No

Kamala 30+ times
$19,816 Vol.
No

China 10+ times
$28,155 Vol.
No

Sleepy/Crooked Joe 5+ times
$31,280 Vol.
No

Fracking 3+ times
$27,349 Vol.
No

North Carolina 3+ times
$10,083 Vol.
No

Hurricane 3+ times
$25,142 Vol.
No

God 2+ times
$22,714 Vol.
Yes

Trans
$25,594 Vol.
No

Drill Baby Drill
$40,179 Vol.
Yes

Missile Defense Shield
$38,703 Vol.
No

FEMA
$61,963 Vol.
Yes

Too Big To Rig
$14,082 Vol.
No

Barack Hussein Obama
$27,639 Vol.
No

Crypto/Bitcoin
$100,889 Vol.
No

Reagan
$9,156 Vol.
No

Death Tax
$8,864 Vol.
No

Vance
$25,642 Vol.
Yes

Hillary
$17,128 Vol.
Yes