Will Trump announce military action against Iran before July?
$33,447 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be conducting military operations against Iran by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only official policy announcements will qualify.
Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Only official policy announcements will qualify.
Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Created At: Jun 20, 2025, 10:25 PM UTC
Volume
$33,447End Date
Jul 1, 2025Created At
Jun 20, 2025, 10:25 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$33,447 Vol.
Will Trump announce military action against Iran before July?
About
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the U.S. will be conducting military operations against Iran by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only official policy announcements will qualify.
Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Only official policy announcements will qualify.
Announcements that the U.S. will assist Israel in carrying out strikes, increase military aid, participate in air to air refueling operations, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military operations will not alone qualify.
Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$33,447End Date
Jul 1, 2025Created At
Jun 20, 2025, 10:25 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
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