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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.3%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$60,956,931 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.3%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$60,956,931 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$739,514 Vol.

16%

Bryson Dechambeau

$212,534 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$422,954 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$185,310 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$353,824 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,353,474 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,390,138 Vol.

5%

Justin Rose

$391,791 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$256,178 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$386,770 Vol.

3%

Cameron Young

$2,734,695 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,789,123 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$278,626 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$313,498 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$192,222 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$195,917 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,987,978 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$289,159 Vol.

2%

Adam Scott

$1,749,892 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,027,837 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$159,527 Vol.

1%

Sepp Straka

$279,774 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$678,704 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,617,188 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$810,627 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,268,657 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$201,280 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,606,567 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$238,520 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$152,258 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$194,737 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$135,629 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$399,151 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$283,165 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$155,787 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$209,557 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$118,970 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$206,963 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$111,803 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$273,989 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$309,730 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$615,716 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$299,425 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$268,455 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$226,121 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$645,523 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$486,043 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$337,447 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$416,914 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$469,218 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$216,038 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$205,726 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$348,809 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$745,854 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$685,869 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$586,001 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$622,080 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$699,785 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$418,775 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's status as the trader-favored leader at 15.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history—two green jackets (2022, 2024), never outside the top 20 in six starts—and elite ball-striking, par-5 scoring, and scrambling that align perfectly with the layout's demands around Amen Corner. His consistent 2026 form (win at American Express, multiple top-10s) persists despite a Houston Open withdrawal for his second child's birth, mirroring his pre-2024 Masters prep. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surges on back-to-back LIV wins and improved Augusta finishes, while Jon Rahm (7.3%) leads strokes gained metrics; Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the defending champion, faces back injury recovery after a shaky Players cut. The wide-open field reflects LIV-PGA parity and Augusta unpredictability.

Scottie Scheffler's status as the trader-favored leader at 15.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history—two green jackets (2022, 2024), never outside the top 20 in six starts—and elite ball-striking, par-5 scoring, and scrambling that align perfectly with the layout's demands around Amen Corner. His consistent 2026 form (win at American Express, multiple top-10s) persists despite a Houston Open withdrawal for his second child's birth, mirroring his pre-2024 Masters prep. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surges on back-to-back LIV wins and improved Augusta finishes, while Jon Rahm (7.3%) leads strokes gained metrics; Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the defending champion, faces back injury recovery after a shaky Players cut. The wide-open field reflects LIV-PGA parity and Augusta unpredictability.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's status as the trader-favored leader at 15.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history—two green jackets (2022, 2024), never outside the top 20 in six starts—and elite ball-striking, par-5 scoring, and scrambling that align perfectly with the layout's demands around Amen Corner. His consistent 2026 form (win at American Express, multiple top-10s) persists despite a Houston Open withdrawal for his second child's birth, mirroring his pre-2024 Masters prep. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surges on back-to-back LIV wins and improved Augusta finishes, while Jon Rahm (7.3%) leads strokes gained metrics; Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the defending champion, faces back injury recovery after a shaky Players cut. The wide-open field reflects LIV-PGA parity and Augusta unpredictability.

Scottie Scheffler's status as the trader-favored leader at 15.5% implied probability stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history—two green jackets (2022, 2024), never outside the top 20 in six starts—and elite ball-striking, par-5 scoring, and scrambling that align perfectly with the layout's demands around Amen Corner. His consistent 2026 form (win at American Express, multiple top-10s) persists despite a Houston Open withdrawal for his second child's birth, mirroring his pre-2024 Masters prep. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surges on back-to-back LIV wins and improved Augusta finishes, while Jon Rahm (7.3%) leads strokes gained metrics; Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the defending champion, faces back injury recovery after a shaky Players cut. The wide-open field reflects LIV-PGA parity and Augusta unpredictability.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $61 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.