Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?
$414,164 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. military carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
U.S. air, missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
U.S. assistance of Israel or another country carrying out a strike, either through military aid, in-air refueling, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military strike will not alone qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
U.S. air, missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
U.S. assistance of Israel or another country carrying out a strike, either through military aid, in-air refueling, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military strike will not alone qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Created At: Jun 18, 2025, 6:25 PM UTC
Volume
$414,164End Date
Jul 1, 2025Created At
Jun 18, 2025, 6:25 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$414,164 Vol.
Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. military carries out a kinetic military strike against the Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant in Iran by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
U.S. air, missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
U.S. assistance of Israel or another country carrying out a strike, either through military aid, in-air refueling, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military strike will not alone qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by U.S. operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
U.S. air, missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
U.S. assistance of Israel or another country carrying out a strike, either through military aid, in-air refueling, intelligence gathering or any other action which does constitute a direct kinetic military strike will not alone qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Volume
$414,164End Date
Jul 1, 2025Created At
Jun 18, 2025, 6:25 PM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
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