The People's Bank of China maintained its benchmark lending rates unchanged in May 2026 for the twelfth consecutive month, with the one-year loan prime rate holding at 3.00% and the five-year at 3.50%, in line with trader expectations priced into the market. This outcome reflects resilient first-quarter GDP growth of 5.0% year-over-year, ample interbank liquidity, and a policy emphasis on targeted tools rather than broad easing amid external rate constraints. The unchanged seven-day reverse repo rate since mid-2025 has anchored LPR stability, reducing pressure for adjustments despite softer industrial and retail data. While consensus remains firm, unexpected weakness in subsequent releases or shifts in global monetary conditions could still open limited scope for future moves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertZinsänderung der People's Bank of China im Mai?
No Change 100.0%
Increase <1%
Decrease <1%
$18,987 Vol.
$18,987 Vol.
Increase
No
No Change
Yes
Decrease
No
No Change 100.0%
Increase <1%
Decrease <1%
$18,987 Vol.
$18,987 Vol.
Increase
No
No Change
Yes
Decrease
No
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The People's Bank of China maintained its benchmark lending rates unchanged in May 2026 for the twelfth consecutive month, with the one-year loan prime rate holding at 3.00% and the five-year at 3.50%, in line with trader expectations priced into the market. This outcome reflects resilient first-quarter GDP growth of 5.0% year-over-year, ample interbank liquidity, and a policy emphasis on targeted tools rather than broad easing amid external rate constraints. The unchanged seven-day reverse repo rate since mid-2025 has anchored LPR stability, reducing pressure for adjustments despite softer industrial and retail data. While consensus remains firm, unexpected weakness in subsequent releases or shifts in global monetary conditions could still open limited scope for future moves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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