The People's Bank of China’s decision to hold its one-year loan prime rate steady at 3.0 percent and the five-year rate at 3.5 percent on May 20 aligns with market-implied odds favoring no change to the 7-day reverse repo rate through month-end. Ample interbank liquidity and the central bank’s emphasis on “targeted and effective” moderately loose monetary policy have reduced pressure for broad-based easing, even as industrial output and retail sales data softened. Traders appear to price in a cautious stance amid rising producer prices and a focus on strengthening endogenous growth drivers rather than additional stimulus. A sharp deterioration in Q2 activity or an unexpected policy pivot at the next monetary policy committee meeting could still alter the path, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No Change 99.0%
Decrease 1.3%
Increase <1%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
Increase
1%
No Change
99%
Decrease
1%
No Change 99.0%
Decrease 1.3%
Increase <1%
新規
新規
2026/05/31
Increase
$2,645 Vol.
1%
No Change
$2,240 Vol.
99%
Decrease
$2,063 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China’s decision to hold its one-year loan prime rate steady at 3.0 percent and the five-year rate at 3.5 percent on May 20 aligns with market-implied odds favoring no change to the 7-day reverse repo rate through month-end. Ample interbank liquidity and the central bank’s emphasis on “targeted and effective” moderately loose monetary policy have reduced pressure for broad-based easing, even as industrial output and retail sales data softened. Traders appear to price in a cautious stance amid rising producer prices and a focus on strengthening endogenous growth drivers rather than additional stimulus. A sharp deterioration in Q2 activity or an unexpected policy pivot at the next monetary policy committee meeting could still alter the path, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
音量
$6,947終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.The People's Bank of China’s decision to hold its one-year loan prime rate steady at 3.0 percent and the five-year rate at 3.5 percent on May 20 aligns with market-implied odds favoring no change to the 7-day reverse repo rate through month-end. Ample interbank liquidity and the central bank’s emphasis on “targeted and effective” moderately loose monetary policy have reduced pressure for broad-based easing, even as industrial output and retail sales data softened. Traders appear to price in a cautious stance amid rising producer prices and a focus on strengthening endogenous growth drivers rather than additional stimulus. A sharp deterioration in Q2 activity or an unexpected policy pivot at the next monetary policy committee meeting could still alter the path, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
音量
$6,947終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The People's Bank of China’s decision to hold its one-year loan prime rate steady at 3.0 percent and the five-year rate at 3.5 percent on May 20 aligns with market-implied odds favoring no change to the 7-day reverse repo rate through month-end. Ample interbank liquidity and the central bank’s emphasis on “targeted and effective” moderately loose monetary policy have reduced pressure for broad-based easing, even as industrial output and retail sales data softened. Traders appear to price in a cautious stance amid rising producer prices and a focus on strengthening endogenous growth drivers rather than additional stimulus. A sharp deterioration in Q2 activity or an unexpected policy pivot at the next monetary policy committee meeting could still alter the path, though such outcomes remain low-probability given current conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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