Traders price a strong consensus for no change at the Federal Reserve's September 15-16 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation readings above the 2 percent target and recent labor market strength that have reduced expectations for easing. Elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and tariff effects have pushed headline and core PCE measures higher in recent months, prompting the FOMC to maintain the federal funds rate in the 3.50-3.75 percent range at its April meeting. A robust June jobs report has further supported hawkish positioning, with market-implied probabilities showing modest odds of a 25 basis point hike amid uncertainty over incoming leadership following Chair Powell's term end. Limited scope for cuts stems from these data trends and the Committee's focus on anchoring longer-term inflation expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No change 76%
25 bps increase 20%
25 bps decrease 3.0%
50+ bps increase 1.5%
$179,793 Vol.
$179,793 Vol.
2026/09/16
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
3%
No change
76%
25 bps increase
20%
50+ bps increase
2%
No change 76%
25 bps increase 20%
25 bps decrease 3.0%
50+ bps increase 1.5%
$179,793 Vol.
$179,793 Vol.
2026/09/16
50+ bps decrease
$36,860 Vol.
1%
25 bps decrease
$34,532 Vol.
3%
No change
$37,254 Vol.
76%
25 bps increase
$37,244 Vol.
20%
50+ bps increase
$33,909 Vol.
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders price a strong consensus for no change at the Federal Reserve's September 15-16 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation readings above the 2 percent target and recent labor market strength that have reduced expectations for easing. Elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and tariff effects have pushed headline and core PCE measures higher in recent months, prompting the FOMC to maintain the federal funds rate in the 3.50-3.75 percent range at its April meeting. A robust June jobs report has further supported hawkish positioning, with market-implied probabilities showing modest odds of a 25 basis point hike amid uncertainty over incoming leadership following Chair Powell's term end. Limited scope for cuts stems from these data trends and the Committee's focus on anchoring longer-term inflation expectations.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
音量
$179,793終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders price a strong consensus for no change at the Federal Reserve's September 15-16 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation readings above the 2 percent target and recent labor market strength that have reduced expectations for easing. Elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and tariff effects have pushed headline and core PCE measures higher in recent months, prompting the FOMC to maintain the federal funds rate in the 3.50-3.75 percent range at its April meeting. A robust June jobs report has further supported hawkish positioning, with market-implied probabilities showing modest odds of a 25 basis point hike amid uncertainty over incoming leadership following Chair Powell's term end. Limited scope for cuts stems from these data trends and the Committee's focus on anchoring longer-term inflation expectations.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$179,793終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price a strong consensus for no change at the Federal Reserve's September 15-16 meeting, reflecting persistent inflation readings above the 2 percent target and recent labor market strength that have reduced expectations for easing. Elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and tariff effects have pushed headline and core PCE measures higher in recent months, prompting the FOMC to maintain the federal funds rate in the 3.50-3.75 percent range at its April meeting. A robust June jobs report has further supported hawkish positioning, with market-implied probabilities showing modest odds of a 25 basis point hike amid uncertainty over incoming leadership following Chair Powell's term end. Limited scope for cuts stems from these data trends and the Committee's focus on anchoring longer-term inflation expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問