Recent economic data have reinforced trader expectations for no change at the Federal Open Market Committee’s September 2026 meeting. Persistent inflation readings above the 2 percent target, supported by elevated energy prices and tariff effects, have prompted analysts to delay anticipated easing. April employment figures showed continued labor-market resilience, with unemployment holding near 4.3 percent, reducing the case for immediate policy adjustment. Minutes from the April FOMC meeting highlighted limited near-term rate movement, with market-implied probabilities now clustering around a steady 3.50–3.75 percent target range. A forthcoming leadership transition adds further caution, keeping the consensus on hold until clearer disinflation or labor-market softening emerges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日No change 80%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 3.0%
50+ bps decrease 2.4%
$161,558 Vol.
$161,558 Vol.
2026/09/16
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
3%
No change
80%
25 bps increase
16%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 80%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 3.0%
50+ bps decrease 2.4%
$161,558 Vol.
$161,558 Vol.
2026/09/16
50+ bps decrease
$34,260 Vol.
2%
25 bps decrease
$32,116 Vol.
3%
No change
$35,657 Vol.
80%
25 bps increase
$30,847 Vol.
16%
50+ bps increase
$28,680 Vol.
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent economic data have reinforced trader expectations for no change at the Federal Open Market Committee’s September 2026 meeting. Persistent inflation readings above the 2 percent target, supported by elevated energy prices and tariff effects, have prompted analysts to delay anticipated easing. April employment figures showed continued labor-market resilience, with unemployment holding near 4.3 percent, reducing the case for immediate policy adjustment. Minutes from the April FOMC meeting highlighted limited near-term rate movement, with market-implied probabilities now clustering around a steady 3.50–3.75 percent target range. A forthcoming leadership transition adds further caution, keeping the consensus on hold until clearer disinflation or labor-market softening emerges.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
音量
$161,558終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent economic data have reinforced trader expectations for no change at the Federal Open Market Committee’s September 2026 meeting. Persistent inflation readings above the 2 percent target, supported by elevated energy prices and tariff effects, have prompted analysts to delay anticipated easing. April employment figures showed continued labor-market resilience, with unemployment holding near 4.3 percent, reducing the case for immediate policy adjustment. Minutes from the April FOMC meeting highlighted limited near-term rate movement, with market-implied probabilities now clustering around a steady 3.50–3.75 percent target range. A forthcoming leadership transition adds further caution, keeping the consensus on hold until clearer disinflation or labor-market softening emerges.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$161,558終了日
2026/09/16マーケット開始日
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent economic data have reinforced trader expectations for no change at the Federal Open Market Committee’s September 2026 meeting. Persistent inflation readings above the 2 percent target, supported by elevated energy prices and tariff effects, have prompted analysts to delay anticipated easing. April employment figures showed continued labor-market resilience, with unemployment holding near 4.3 percent, reducing the case for immediate policy adjustment. Minutes from the April FOMC meeting highlighted limited near-term rate movement, with market-implied probabilities now clustering around a steady 3.50–3.75 percent target range. A forthcoming leadership transition adds further caution, keeping the consensus on hold until clearer disinflation or labor-market softening emerges.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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