Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced the median Chicago home value below $344,000 at 100% implied probability for the May 31 resolution, reflecting the latest Zillow Home Value Index reading of $324,183 as of April 30, 2026, which incorporates 3.1% year-over-year appreciation amid persistently low inventory and steady buyer demand. This positioning aligns with Redfin median sale price trends in the $360,000–$390,000 range for recent months, though citywide valuation metrics remain anchored below the key threshold due to slower price momentum compared with prior years. With resolution imminent, any final May data revisions or seasonal adjustments could still influence the outcome, but the overwhelming market-implied odds underscore the strength of current fundamental data in shaping aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?
What will the median home value in Chicago be on May 31?
<344k 100.0%
344 - 345k <1%
345 - 347k <1%
347 - 348k <1%
$5,184 Vol.
$5,184 Vol.
2026/05/31
<344k
Yes
344 - 345k
No
345 - 347k
No
347 - 348k
No
348 - 349k
No
349 - 351k
No
351 - 353k
No
>353k
No
<344k 100.0%
344 - 345k <1%
345 - 347k <1%
347 - 348k <1%
$5,184 Vol.
$5,184 Vol.
2026/05/31
<344k
$2,021 Vol.
Yes
344 - 345k
$410 Vol.
No
345 - 347k
$392 Vol.
No
347 - 348k
$278 Vol.
No
348 - 349k
$750 Vol.
No
349 - 351k
$631 Vol.
No
351 - 353k
$276 Vol.
No
>353k
$427 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced the median Chicago home value below $344,000 at 100% implied probability for the May 31 resolution, reflecting the latest Zillow Home Value Index reading of $324,183 as of April 30, 2026, which incorporates 3.1% year-over-year appreciation amid persistently low inventory and steady buyer demand. This positioning aligns with Redfin median sale price trends in the $360,000–$390,000 range for recent months, though citywide valuation metrics remain anchored below the key threshold due to slower price momentum compared with prior years. With resolution imminent, any final May data revisions or seasonal adjustments could still influence the outcome, but the overwhelming market-implied odds underscore the strength of current fundamental data in shaping aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
マーケット開始日： May 4, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
音量
$5,184終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced the median Chicago home value below $344,000 at 100% implied probability for the May 31 resolution, reflecting the latest Zillow Home Value Index reading of $324,183 as of April 30, 2026, which incorporates 3.1% year-over-year appreciation amid persistently low inventory and steady buyer demand. This positioning aligns with Redfin median sale price trends in the $360,000–$390,000 range for recent months, though citywide valuation metrics remain anchored below the key threshold due to slower price momentum compared with prior years. With resolution imminent, any final May data revisions or seasonal adjustments could still influence the outcome, but the overwhelming market-implied odds underscore the strength of current fundamental data in shaping aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on May 31, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/38)
音量
$5,184終了日
2026/05/31マーケット開始日
May 4, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has priced the median Chicago home value below $344,000 at 100% implied probability for the May 31 resolution, reflecting the latest Zillow Home Value Index reading of $324,183 as of April 30, 2026, which incorporates 3.1% year-over-year appreciation amid persistently low inventory and steady buyer demand. This positioning aligns with Redfin median sale price trends in the $360,000–$390,000 range for recent months, though citywide valuation metrics remain anchored below the key threshold due to slower price momentum compared with prior years. With resolution imminent, any final May data revisions or seasonal adjustments could still influence the outcome, but the overwhelming market-implied odds underscore the strength of current fundamental data in shaping aggregated trader sentiment backed by real capital.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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