With the 2025-26 NHL regular season concluding amid intense playoff positioning battles on April 4, Colorado Avalanche lead trader consensus at 19.3% implied probability for the Stanley Cup, driven by their dominant 49-15-10 record topping Super 16 power rankings and trade deadline depth additions, despite defenseman Cale Makar sidelined short-term with an upper-body injury. Tampa Bay Lightning trail closely at 14.1% after a strong homestand capped by a win over Pittsburgh, while Carolina Hurricanes sit at 11.5% following their Thursday clinch of an eighth straight playoff berth via a 5-1 rout of Columbus. Edmonton Oilers (9.5%) and Dallas Stars (8%) round out top contenders with surging late form, elite goaltending, and favorable Central paths; this parity reflects uncertain wild-card races, multi-team ties, and playoff reset dynamics where upsets loom large in a deep 16-team field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedColorado Avalanche 19.4%
Tampa Bay Lightning 14.2%
Carolina Hurricanes 12%
Edmonton Oilers 9%
$60,958,549 Vol.
$60,958,549 Vol.
Colorado Avalanche
19%
Tampa Bay Lightning
14%
Carolina Hurricanes
12%
Edmonton Oilers
9%
Dallas Stars
8%
Montreal Canadiens
6%
Vegas Golden Knights
5%
Buffalo Sabres
5%
Minnesota Wild
4%
Pittsburgh Penguins
3%
Ottawa Senators
3%
Columbus Blue Jackets
3%
Utah Mammoth
3%
Anaheim Ducks
2%
Boston Bruins
2%
New York Islanders
1%
San Jose Sharks
1%
Los Angeles Kings
1%
Philadelphia Flyers
<1%
Detroit Red Wings
<1%
Nashville Predators
<1%
Seattle Kraken
<1%
Winnipeg Jets
<1%
Washington Capitals
<1%
New Jersey Devils
<1%
St. Louis Blues
<1%
Florida Panthers
<1%
Calgary Flames
<1%
Colorado Avalanche 19.4%
Tampa Bay Lightning 14.2%
Carolina Hurricanes 12%
Edmonton Oilers 9%
$60,958,549 Vol.
$60,958,549 Vol.
Colorado Avalanche
19%
Tampa Bay Lightning
14%
Carolina Hurricanes
12%
Edmonton Oilers
9%
Dallas Stars
8%
Montreal Canadiens
6%
Vegas Golden Knights
5%
Buffalo Sabres
5%
Minnesota Wild
4%
Pittsburgh Penguins
3%
Ottawa Senators
3%
Columbus Blue Jackets
3%
Utah Mammoth
3%
Anaheim Ducks
2%
Boston Bruins
2%
New York Islanders
1%
San Jose Sharks
1%
Los Angeles Kings
1%
Philadelphia Flyers
<1%
Detroit Red Wings
<1%
Nashville Predators
<1%
Seattle Kraken
<1%
Winnipeg Jets
<1%
Washington Capitals
<1%
New Jersey Devils
<1%
St. Louis Blues
<1%
Florida Panthers
<1%
Calgary Flames
<1%
This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
Market Opened: Jun 23, 2025, 11:35 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup based off the rules of the NHL.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NHL.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With the 2025-26 NHL regular season concluding amid intense playoff positioning battles on April 4, Colorado Avalanche lead trader consensus at 19.3% implied probability for the Stanley Cup, driven by their dominant 49-15-10 record topping Super 16 power rankings and trade deadline depth additions, despite defenseman Cale Makar sidelined short-term with an upper-body injury. Tampa Bay Lightning trail closely at 14.1% after a strong homestand capped by a win over Pittsburgh, while Carolina Hurricanes sit at 11.5% following their Thursday clinch of an eighth straight playoff berth via a 5-1 rout of Columbus. Edmonton Oilers (9.5%) and Dallas Stars (8%) round out top contenders with surging late form, elite goaltending, and favorable Central paths; this parity reflects uncertain wild-card races, multi-team ties, and playoff reset dynamics where upsets loom large in a deep 16-team field.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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