Bank of Korea decision in April?

Economy·South Korea

Bank of Korea decision in April?

Apr 10

May 28

Apr 10

May 28

No Change 94%

Increase 3.0%

Decrease 2.7%

$18,913 Vol.

Apr 10, 2026

Decrease

$2,923 Vol.

No Change

$12,565 Vol.

94%

Increase

$3,425 Vol.

No Change 94%

Increase 3.0%

Decrease 2.7%

$18,913 Vol.

Apr 10, 2026

Decrease

$2,923 Vol.

No Change

$12,565 Vol.

94%

Increase

$3,425 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s April monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 93.5% implied probability of no change in the Bank of Korea's benchmark rate at 3.50% for its April 18 meeting, driven by March CPI inflation easing to 2.9% year-over-year—nearing the 2% target—while core pressures remain contained amid weak domestic demand and softening exports to China. This consensus reflects BOK Governor Rhee's repeated signals of a prolonged pause after 11 straight holds since January 2023 hikes, backed by steady GDP growth near 2% but elevated household debt curbing cut bets. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected April inflation data or a sharper global slowdown prompting divergence, though current trader capital shows scant conviction for hikes (3%) or cuts (2.5%).

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 21, 2026, 12:21 AM UTC

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Bank of Korea decision in April?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No Change" at 94%, followed by "Decrease" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bank of Korea decision in April?" has generated $18.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bank of Korea decision in April?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bank of Korea decision in April?" is "No Change" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Decrease" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bank of Korea decision in April?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Bank of Korea decision in April?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. With $18.9K traded on “Bank of Korea decision in April?,” these prices aggregate the collective knowledge and conviction of thousands of participants — often outperforming polls, expert forecasts, and traditional surveys. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Bank of Korea decision in April?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 94¢ for "No Change" in the "Bank of Korea decision in April?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 94% chance that "No Change" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 94¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 6¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Bank of Korea decision in April?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Apr 10, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Bank of Korea decision in April?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Bank of Korea decision in April?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Bank of Korea decision in April?

Bank of Korea decision in April?

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