Arsenal leads trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability after a flawless 8-0-0 league phase and 3-1 aggregate round-of-16 win over Bayer Leverkusen, bolstered by a favorable quarterfinal matchup against Sporting CP. Bayern Munich trails closely at 21.5% following a dominant 10-2 thrashing of Atalanta, though their blockbuster clash with Real Madrid introduces uncertainty. Barcelona's emphatic 7-2 second-leg rout of Newcastle propelled them to 16.5%, while PSG's 8-2 demolition of Chelsea supports 12.5%; Real Madrid's 5-1 upset of Manchester City lands at 10.5% amid prior league-phase losses. Liverpool's 4-1 advance over Galatasaray holds steady at 7.5%, but PSG tie tempers expectations, keeping the field tightly contested ahead of April first legs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,497,170 Vol.
$221,497,170 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 22%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$221,497,170 Vol.
$221,497,170 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
22%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal leads trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability after a flawless 8-0-0 league phase and 3-1 aggregate round-of-16 win over Bayer Leverkusen, bolstered by a favorable quarterfinal matchup against Sporting CP. Bayern Munich trails closely at 21.5% following a dominant 10-2 thrashing of Atalanta, though their blockbuster clash with Real Madrid introduces uncertainty. Barcelona's emphatic 7-2 second-leg rout of Newcastle propelled them to 16.5%, while PSG's 8-2 demolition of Chelsea supports 12.5%; Real Madrid's 5-1 upset of Manchester City lands at 10.5% amid prior league-phase losses. Liverpool's 4-1 advance over Galatasaray holds steady at 7.5%, but PSG tie tempers expectations, keeping the field tightly contested ahead of April first legs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions