Market icon
Sports·NFL Draft

2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick

Market icon
Sports·NFL Draft

2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick

David Bailey 67%

Caleb Downs 34.3%

Jordyn Tyson 34.3%

Carnell Tate 33.6%

Polymarket
NEW

David Bailey 67%

Caleb Downs 34.3%

Jordyn Tyson 34.3%

Carnell Tate 33.6%

Polymarket
NEW

David Bailey

$0 Vol.

67%

Caleb Downs

$0 Vol.

34%

Jordyn Tyson

$0 Vol.

34%

Carnell Tate

$0 Vol.

34%

Peter Woods

$0 Vol.

33%

Keldric Faulk

$0 Vol.

32%

Francis Mauigoa

$0 Vol.

24%

Rueben Bain Jr.

$0 Vol.

10%

Arvell Reese

$6,057 Vol.

9%

Sonny Styles

$0 Vol.

9%

Fernando Mendoza

$0 Vol.

8%

Nico Iamaleava

$0 Vol.

7%

T.J. Parker

$0 Vol.

7%

Kadyn Proctor

$0 Vol.

6%

Ty Simpson

$0 Vol.

5%

LT Overton

$0 Vol.

5%

Garrett Nussmeier

$0 Vol.

2%

Drew Allar

$0 Vol.

1%

Dante Moore

$0 Vol.

17%

Carson Beck

$0 Vol.

32%

Trevor Goosby

$0 Vol.

34%

Kayden McDonald

$0 Vol.

32%

Jeremiyah Love

$0 Vol.

34%

Spencer Fano

$0 Vol.

37%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,062
End Date
Apr 23, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the listed player who is drafted third overall in the 2026 NFL Draft. If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trader sentiment for the 2026 NFL Draft's third overall pick remains razor-tight among Kelvin Banks Jr., James Pearce Jr., Mason Graham, and Malaki Starks, all hovering around 50% implied probability, driven by their elite college production at premium positions—offensive tackle, edge rusher, defensive tackle, and safety. Banks' dominant pass protection for Texas (zero sacks allowed in recent outings) edges him ahead, but Pearce's sack explosion (4.5 in Tennessee's last three games) and Graham's run-stuffing interior dominance for Michigan prevent separation. Starks' ball-hawking instincts at Georgia add to the cluster. With the 2025 season midway, no prospect has decisively pulled away amid shifting mock drafts and team needs, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this deep class.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 24 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Spencer Fano" at 37%, followed by "David Bailey" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick " is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Dec 22, 2025. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick ," browse the 24 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick " is "Spencer Fano" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Bailey" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Pro Football Draft: 3rd Overall Pick " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.