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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 13%

Bryson Dechambeau 9%

Jon Rahm 7.6%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$65,796,347 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 13%

Bryson Dechambeau 9%

Jon Rahm 7.6%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$65,796,347 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$918,664 Vol.

13%

Bryson Dechambeau

$257,884 Vol.

9%

Jon Rahm

$493,195 Vol.

8%

Rory McIlroy

$206,516 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$420,621 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,473,980 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,416,383 Vol.

4%

Tommy Fleetwood

$302,554 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,805,913 Vol.

4%

Justin Rose

$434,426 Vol.

3%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,129,305 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$418,655 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,875,291 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$368,293 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$253,219 Vol.

2%

Min Woo Lee

$734,243 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$361,287 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$250,151 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$5,038,469 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$350,929 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$320,077 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,661,715 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$832,797 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$178,779 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,700,538 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,300,609 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,835,573 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$217,926 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$341,318 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$322,245 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$411,844 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$307,475 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$258,081 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$240,234 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$168,747 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$329,311 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$159,183 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$171,948 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$148,008 Vol.

1%

Tony Finau

$379,188 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$461,492 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$510,971 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$273,652 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$750,338 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$592,036 Vol.

<1%

Wyndham Clark

$221,265 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$1,043,512 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$404,493 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$320,970 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$468,342 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$680,049 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$932,507 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$555,582 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$764,733 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$359,910 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$510,971 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$511,598 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$925,241 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$713,422 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus edge at 13% implied probability stems from two prior green jackets, unmatched Augusta course history, and elite strokes gained tee-to-green metrics, yet the race stays tight amid a deep field of major contenders. Bryson DeChambeau's recent LIV Singapore victory and 36-hole lead in South Africa have boosted his 8.5% share, signaling power-game resurgence suited to Augusta's demands. Jon Rahm's consistent LIV form and 2023 win hold him at 7.6%, while defending champion Rory McIlroy sits at 6.5% despite injury concerns clouding his grand slam pursuit. Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele's strong ball-striking and recent top finishes underscore the competitive parity, with no player dominating lead-up strokes gained data entering Thursday's tee times.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$65,796,347
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's trader consensus edge at 13% implied probability stems from two prior green jackets, unmatched Augusta course history, and elite strokes gained tee-to-green metrics, yet the race stays tight amid a deep field of major contenders. Bryson DeChambeau's recent LIV Singapore victory and 36-hole lead in South Africa have boosted his 8.5% share, signaling power-game resurgence suited to Augusta's demands. Jon Rahm's consistent LIV form and 2023 win hold him at 7.6%, while defending champion Rory McIlroy sits at 6.5% despite injury concerns clouding his grand slam pursuit. Ludvig Aberg and Xander Schauffele's strong ball-striking and recent top finishes underscore the competitive parity, with no player dominating lead-up strokes gained data entering Thursday's tee times.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$65,796,347
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 13%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 13¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $65.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 13%, meaning the market assigns a 13% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.