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Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

$2,131 Vol.

Dec 31

7% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,131
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 5, 2025, 6:16 PM UTC
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$2,131 Vol.

Market icon

Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?

Dec 31

7% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the South Korea by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by South Korea, North Korea, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$2,131
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Created At
Nov 5, 2025, 6:16 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.