Will NATO expand in 2022?
This is a market on whether the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will have more than 30 full member states for any length of time before January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET. If NATO announces it has more than 30 member states at any point before January 1, 2023, this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
This is a market on whether the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will have more than 30 full member states for any length of time before January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET. If NATO announces it has more than 30 member states at any point before January 1, 2023, this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Created At: Feb 28, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
Volume
$388,391End Date
Jan 1, 2023Created At
Feb 28, 2022, 7:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htmResolver
0xCB1822859...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Will NATO expand in 2022?
This is a market on whether the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will have more than 30 full member states for any length of time before January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET. If NATO announces it has more than 30 member states at any point before January 1, 2023, this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
This is a market on whether the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) will have more than 30 full member states for any length of time before January 1, 2023, 12:00:00 AM ET. If NATO announces it has more than 30 member states at any point before January 1, 2023, this market will resolve as “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
The primary settlement source for this market will be the official NATO website (https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htm), however other credible sources may be used.
Volume
$388,391End Date
Jan 1, 2023Created At
Feb 28, 2022, 7:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/nato_countries.htmResolver
0xCB1822859...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Will NATO expand in 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Will NATO expand in 2022?" has generated $388.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 1, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Will NATO expand in 2022?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Will NATO expand in 2022?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Will NATO expand in 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions