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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$60,935,660 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.4%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$60,935,660 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$735,314 Vol.

16%

Bryson Dechambeau

$212,534 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$422,342 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$185,285 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$353,679 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,390,069 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,353,139 Vol.

5%

Justin Rose

$391,214 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$256,001 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$386,529 Vol.

3%

Cameron Young

$2,734,182 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,788,800 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$278,541 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$313,320 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$192,222 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$195,884 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,987,978 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$289,159 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,027,613 Vol.

2%

Justin Thomas

$159,527 Vol.

1%

Sepp Straka

$279,774 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,616,921 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,749,497 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$678,576 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,268,657 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$810,503 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,606,474 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$201,280 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$238,336 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$152,139 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$194,677 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$135,560 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$399,151 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$155,119 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$209,493 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$118,970 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$206,845 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$111,787 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$273,989 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$282,033 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$309,712 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$615,659 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$299,425 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$268,387 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$226,121 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$645,523 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$486,043 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$337,385 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$416,800 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$469,218 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$215,982 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$205,726 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$348,809 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$745,789 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$680,845 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$586,001 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$622,028 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$695,052 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$418,712 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability thanks to his elite Augusta National history—two green jackets from 2022 and 2024, top-20 finishes in all seven starts, and unmatched par-5 scoring—despite withdrawing from last week's Houston Open for family reasons amid an early-2026 form slump. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) gains traction with back-to-back LIV Golf wins and runner-up contention last year, differentiating via power off the tee suited to Augusta's lengthened layout. Jon Rahm (7.3%) draws from his 2023 victory and LIV consistency, while Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defending champion, contends despite grand slam pressure. Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) and Matt Fitzpatrick (5.1%) shine in recent strokes gained tee-to-green stats, underscoring a wide-open field vulnerable to upsets. Mild weather forecasts pose no major disruptions.

Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability thanks to his elite Augusta National history—two green jackets from 2022 and 2024, top-20 finishes in all seven starts, and unmatched par-5 scoring—despite withdrawing from last week's Houston Open for family reasons amid an early-2026 form slump. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) gains traction with back-to-back LIV Golf wins and runner-up contention last year, differentiating via power off the tee suited to Augusta's lengthened layout. Jon Rahm (7.3%) draws from his 2023 victory and LIV consistency, while Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defending champion, contends despite grand slam pressure. Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) and Matt Fitzpatrick (5.1%) shine in recent strokes gained tee-to-green stats, underscoring a wide-open field vulnerable to upsets. Mild weather forecasts pose no major disruptions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability thanks to his elite Augusta National history—two green jackets from 2022 and 2024, top-20 finishes in all seven starts, and unmatched par-5 scoring—despite withdrawing from last week's Houston Open for family reasons amid an early-2026 form slump. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) gains traction with back-to-back LIV Golf wins and runner-up contention last year, differentiating via power off the tee suited to Augusta's lengthened layout. Jon Rahm (7.3%) draws from his 2023 victory and LIV consistency, while Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defending champion, contends despite grand slam pressure. Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) and Matt Fitzpatrick (5.1%) shine in recent strokes gained tee-to-green stats, underscoring a wide-open field vulnerable to upsets. Mild weather forecasts pose no major disruptions.

Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability thanks to his elite Augusta National history—two green jackets from 2022 and 2024, top-20 finishes in all seven starts, and unmatched par-5 scoring—despite withdrawing from last week's Houston Open for family reasons amid an early-2026 form slump. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) gains traction with back-to-back LIV Golf wins and runner-up contention last year, differentiating via power off the tee suited to Augusta's lengthened layout. Jon Rahm (7.3%) draws from his 2023 victory and LIV consistency, while Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defending champion, contends despite grand slam pressure. Ludvig Aberg (5.3%) and Matt Fitzpatrick (5.1%) shine in recent strokes gained tee-to-green stats, underscoring a wide-open field vulnerable to upsets. Mild weather forecasts pose no major disruptions.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $60.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.