Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
$2,585,707 Vol.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel carries out a kinetic military action against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between May 20, 10:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Created At: May 21, 2025, 2:31 AM UTC
Volume
$2,585,707End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
May 21, 2025, 2:31 AM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$2,585,707 Vol.
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?
About
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel carries out a kinetic military action against any Iranian facility used for the development, enrichment, storage, or processing of nuclear material or technology, including reactors, enrichment facilities, uranium mines, and research centers located on Iranian soil, between May 20, 10:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Israeli operatives on the ground. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.
Israeli missile and drone strikes which are shot down or miss their targets will not be considered for this market.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Volume
$2,585,707End Date
Jun 30, 2025Created At
May 21, 2025, 2:31 AM UTCResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
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