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This market will resolve to the NBA team that officially acquires Giannis Antetokounmpo in a trade from the Milwaukee Bucks before the 2025-2026 NBA season trade deadline.

If Giannis Antetokounmpo is cut, retires, is not on an NBA roster as of the resolution date, or otherwise remains on the Bucks through the NBA trade deadline, this market will resolve to "Not Traded".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Milwaukee Bucks and/or the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hawks

Pistons

Rockets

Not Traded

Heat

Thunder

Knicks

Spurs

Raptors

Lakers

Warriors

Where will Giannis be traded?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed NBA player is traded from their current team to another NBA team before the 2025-2026 NBA trade deadline. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The NBA trade deadline for the 2025-2026 season is scheduled for February 5, 2026.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ja Morant of the Memphis Grizzlies is traded to another NBA team by February 5, 2026, 3:00 PM ET. 

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Ja Morant be traded before the 2026 trade deadline?

This market will resolve according to the next NBA team that Chris Paul is either traded to or signs a contract with by the end of the 2025-2026 NBA regular season.

If Chris Paul announces his retirement, remains on the Los Angeles Clippers, or is otherwise not traded to or signed by a new NBA team by the end of 2025-2026 NBA regular season, this market will resolve to “No Next Team”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Chris Paul sign with or be traded to the Dallas Mavericks?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Most Improved Player.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Most Improved Player, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tua Tagovailoa of the Miami Dolphins is traded to any other team before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The 2026-2027 NFL regular season will have started once the first snap has taken place in any 2026-2027 NFL regular season game.

If Tua Tagovailoa is released, retires, is not on an NFL roster as of the resolution date, or otherwise remains on the Dolphins through the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Miami Dolphins; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Tua Tagovailoa traded by next season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if LeBron James retires from the NBA before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement from James that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. Announcements that he will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from LeBron James, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes the 2025-2026 NBA Regular Season with the best record in the league.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the regular Season with the best record.

If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2025-26 NBA Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the team who receives home court advantage for the 2026 NBA playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Clutch Player of the Year.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Clutch Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the listed division for the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference Finals. 

If it becomes impossible for this team to win based on the rules of the NBA this market will resolve to “No”. 

If multiple teams share the same record, official NBA tie breaking rules will be used to determine the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?

This is a market to predict which player will win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player is officially named the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the award is not announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com).

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Justin Tucker signs with an NFL team as a player before the 2025-2026 NFL season ends. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Tucker will be considered to have signed with an NFL team if his signing is recorded on the official NFL transaction wire.

The resolution source for this market will be the official NFL transaction wire (https://www.nfl.com/transactions/). 

Will Justin Tucker sign with an NFL team this year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Aaron Rodgers retires from the NFL before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement from Rodgers that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season. Announcements that Rodgers will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Aaron Rodgers, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals is traded to the New York Jets before the start of the first 2026 NFL preseason game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Burrow is cut, retires, or is not on an NFL roster as of the resolution time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Cincinnati Bengals and the New York Jets, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Joe Burrow traded to the Jets?

Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Sixth Man of the Year.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Sixth Man of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Naz Reid win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is selected as a 2026 NBA All-Star. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of the players selected to be members of the 2026 NBA All-Star rosters, including potential players selected outside of the voting process to fill teams for the new U.S. v. World round-robin format. Subsequent changes or substitutions made after the first official announcement of completed rosters will not be considered.

Only selections for players to be on an official NBA All-Star roster will count. Selections to participate in the 3 Point Contest, Dunk Contest, or other NBA All-Star weekend events will not affect the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.

Will Luka Dončić be a 2026 NBA All-Star?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first pick of the 2026 NFL draft is traded at any point before the pick is used for selection in the draft. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will the 1st pick in the 2026 NFL draft be traded?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Coach of the Year.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Coach of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NBA Defensive Player of the Year.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Defensive Player of the Year, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the worst regular season record in the NBA for the 2025-2026 Season.

If multiple teams finish with identical records, the league’s tiebreaker rules will be used to determine the worst record.

If it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish with the worst record based on the rules of the NBA, the market for that team may resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NBA

Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA?

This market will resolve according to the player selected with the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft.

If the 2026 NBA draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NBA draft.

Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?

Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?

Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the best regular-season record in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference standings.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the 2025–26 NBA Regular Season with the best Regular Season record in the Eastern Conference.

If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2025–26 NBA Regular Season in the Eastern Conference, this market will resolve in favor of the team that receives the number 1 seed for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Detroit Pistons finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Eastern Conference?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Jack Adams Award.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Jack Adams Award, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jared Bednar win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the best regular-season record in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference standings.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the 2025–26 NBA Regular Season with the best Regular Season record in the Western Conference.

If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2025–26 NBA Regular Season in the Western Conference, this market will resolve in favor of the team that receives the number 1 seed for the 2026 NBA Playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish as the #1 seed in the 2025–2026 NBA Western Conference?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NBA Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note: reaching the Play-In Tournament will not qualify as making the Playoffs. To make the NBA Playoffs, a team must earn one of the 16 spots in the postseason bracket.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to make the Playoffs based on the rules of the NBA (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from reaching the Play-In), this market will resolve immediately to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens is traded to any other team before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The 2026-2027 NFL regular season will have started once the first snap has taken place in any 2026-2027 NFL regular season game.

If Lamar Jackson is released, retires, is not on an NFL roster as of the resolution date, or otherwise remains on the Ravens through the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Baltimore Ravens; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Lamar Jackson traded by next season?

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025–2026 NBA Northwest Division?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Travis Kelce retires from the NFL before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement from Kelce that he is retiring will qualify even if his official retirement has not yet occurred, as long as the announced retirement is stated to take effect before the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season. Announcements that Kelce will retire after the start of the 2026-2027 NFL regular season will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Travis Kelce, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Travis Kelce retire before next season?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament.

If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2025–2026 NBA Southwest Division?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship.

If two or more teams tie for the regular season championship, this market will resolve according to the team which receives a higher seed for the 2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball conference tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a team to win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball Regular Season Championship based on the rules of the Big 10 or NCAA (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No" for that team.

If for any reason no 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season champion is declared by April 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Official resolution will be based on the Big 10's official Men's Basketball results, as published on bigten.org or NCAA.com, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Michigan win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?

This polymarket will resolve to "Yes" if Cristiano Ronaldo officially announces his retirement from club soccer by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To resolve "Yes", the announcement must clearly state that Ronaldo is retiring from club-level professional soccer. The announcement must come from Ronaldo himself or his official representatives.

Retirement from international soccer alone will not qualify. 

The retirement must be intended to take effect immediately or prior to the start of the next club season following the announcement.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Cristiano Ronaldo; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Art Ross Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Art Ross Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Western Conference during the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Western Conference (e.g., elimination from the playoffs), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or the playoffs have not been completed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?

This market will resolve according to the date on which the WNBA and WNBA players association sign a new collective bargaining agreement (CBA). The listed market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of signing is between market creation and the listed date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the listed market will resolve to "No."

For purposes of this market, a CBA is considered ‘executed’ only when the final written agreement has been formally signed by authorized representatives of both the WNBA and the WNBA Players Association. Tentative agreements, ratifications, or agreements pending signature do not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will the WNBA and WNBPA sign a new CBA by Jan. 31, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the Eastern Conference during the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the Eastern Conference (e.g., elimination from the playoffs), the relevant market will resolve immediately to “No.”

If the 2025-26 NHL season is permanently canceled or the playoffs have not been completed by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Frank J. Selke Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Nick Suzuki win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 James Norris Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Vezina Trophy.

If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes the 2025–26 NBA regular season with the highest three pointers made per-game average of any qualified player.

In the event of a tie for the highest three pointers made per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.

The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).

Where will Giannis be traded?

Not Traded
$125,994 Vol.
80%

Knicks
$77,734 Vol.
8%

Raptors
$17,550 Vol.
4%

Heat
$3,509 Vol.
4%

Rockets
$5,479 Vol.
3%

Hawks
$18,106 Vol.
2%

Lakers
$71,325 Vol.
1%

Spurs
$24,893 Vol.
1%

Pistons
$5,064 Vol.
<1%

Thunder
$3,135 Vol.
<1%

Warriors
$3,315 Vol.
<1%

Market Context

Where will Giannis be traded?

Rules

Where will Giannis be traded?

Market Context

Where will Giannis be traded?

About

Related

Where will Giannis be traded?

Not Traded$125,994 Vol.80%buy Yes80¢buy No21¢

Knicks$77,734 Vol.8%buy Yes8.3¢buy No92.9¢

Raptors$17,550 Vol.4%buy Yes5.7¢buy No97.2¢

Heat$3,509 Vol.4%buy Yes6.5¢buy No98.4¢

Rockets$5,479 Vol.3%buy Yes5.2¢buy No99.5¢

Hawks$18,106 Vol.2%buy Yes3.0¢buy No99.1¢

Lakers$71,325 Vol.1%buy Yes1.9¢buy No99.1¢

Spurs$24,893 Vol.1%buy Yes1.0¢buy No99.2¢

Pistons$5,064 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Thunder$3,135 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Warriors$3,315 Vol.<1%buy Yes0.2¢buy No99.9¢

Market Context

Where will Giannis be traded?

Rules

Where will Giannis be traded?

Market Context

Where will Giannis be traded?

About

Related

Not Traded
$125,994 Vol.
80%

Knicks
$77,734 Vol.
8%

Raptors
$17,550 Vol.
4%

Heat
$3,509 Vol.
4%

Rockets
$5,479 Vol.
3%

Hawks
$18,106 Vol.
2%

Lakers
$71,325 Vol.
1%

Spurs
$24,893 Vol.
1%

Pistons
$5,064 Vol.
<1%

Thunder
$3,135 Vol.
<1%

Warriors
$3,315 Vol.
<1%