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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.3%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$62,165,120 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.3%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$62,165,120 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$787,779 Vol.

16%

Bryson Dechambeau

$228,857 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$440,524 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$189,797 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$360,483 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,403,513 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,368,407 Vol.

4%

Justin Rose

$397,313 Vol.

3%

Cameron Young

$2,754,728 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$266,925 Vol.

3%

Collin Morikawa

$294,861 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$395,198 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,808,265 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$322,893 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$213,244 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$194,016 Vol.

2%

Sepp Straka

$306,519 Vol.

2%

Russell Henley

$822,772 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,993,629 Vol.

2%

Shane Lowry

$6,623,596 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$233,709 Vol.

1%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,058,419 Vol.

1%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$295,148 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$697,341 Vol.

1%

Justin Thomas

$163,624 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$226,151 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,270,588 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,620,996 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$203,386 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,766,337 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$240,309 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$154,046 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$145,757 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$162,216 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$220,732 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$127,156 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$116,701 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$286,092 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$336,051 Vol.

<1%

Will Zalatoris

$282,809 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$626,719 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$312,328 Vol.

<1%

Sahith Theegala

$442,570 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$291,629 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$504,910 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$389,132 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$439,631 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$472,949 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$245,495 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$219,130 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$250,024 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$366,400 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$674,124 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$817,765 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$823,898 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$612,351 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$651,130 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$817,327 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$427,850 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, buoyed by his two green jackets (2022, 2024), world No. 1 status, and a 68-cut streak entering Augusta National, despite a recent T24 at Arnold Palmer and withdrawal from Houston Open for family reasons—mirroring his pre-2024 Masters prep. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surges on back-to-back LIV wins and improved Augusta finishes, showcasing power off the tee and par-5 prowess suited to the layout. Jon Rahm (7.3%) draws from his 2023 victory and LIV points lead, while Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defending champion, leverages eight top-10s in 12 starts despite a brief back issue. The wide-open field reflects balanced course history, recent form like Brian Harman's Valero win, and stroke-play demands for precision irons and scrambling on slick greens.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,165,120
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler leads trader consensus at 15.5% implied probability for the Masters winner, buoyed by his two green jackets (2022, 2024), world No. 1 status, and a 68-cut streak entering Augusta National, despite a recent T24 at Arnold Palmer and withdrawal from Houston Open for family reasons—mirroring his pre-2024 Masters prep. Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) surges on back-to-back LIV wins and improved Augusta finishes, showcasing power off the tee and par-5 prowess suited to the layout. Jon Rahm (7.3%) draws from his 2023 victory and LIV points lead, while Rory McIlroy (6.5%), the 2025 defending champion, leverages eight top-10s in 12 starts despite a brief back issue. The wide-open field reflects balanced course history, recent form like Brian Harman's Valero win, and stroke-play demands for precision irons and scrambling on slick greens.

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament.

If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.

If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$62,165,120
End Date
Apr 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $62.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.