Trader consensus for the 2026 NFL Draft's No. 3 overall pick shows a dead heat among Kelvin Banks Jr., James Pearce Jr., and Mason Graham near 50% implied probabilities, driven by their elite 2024 performances amid uncertain draft order and team needs. Banks has anchored Texas' top-ranked offensive line through undefeated starts, bolstering his blindside protector stock; Pearce leads the nation in sacks for surging Tennessee, amplifying edge rusher demand; Graham disrupts as Michigan's interior anchor, fueling trench warfare value debates. Malaki Starks trails closely with Georgia's lockdown coverage, but no prospect has separated decisively in mocks or big boards, reflecting balanced scouting hype and the wisdom of crowds hedging positional versatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedDavid Bailey 67%
Caleb Downs 34.3%
Jordyn Tyson 34.3%
Carnell Tate 33.6%
David Bailey
67%
Caleb Downs
34%
Jordyn Tyson
34%
Carnell Tate
34%
Peter Woods
33%
Keldric Faulk
32%
Francis Mauigoa
24%
Rueben Bain Jr.
10%
Arvell Reese
9%
Sonny Styles
9%
Fernando Mendoza
8%
Nico Iamaleava
7%
T.J. Parker
7%
Kadyn Proctor
6%
Ty Simpson
5%
LT Overton
5%
Garrett Nussmeier
2%
Drew Allar
1%
Dante Moore
17%
Carson Beck
32%
Trevor Goosby
34%
Kayden McDonald
32%
Jeremiyah Love
34%
Spencer Fano
37%
David Bailey 67%
Caleb Downs 34.3%
Jordyn Tyson 34.3%
Carnell Tate 33.6%
David Bailey
67%
Caleb Downs
34%
Jordyn Tyson
34%
Carnell Tate
34%
Peter Woods
33%
Keldric Faulk
32%
Francis Mauigoa
24%
Rueben Bain Jr.
10%
Arvell Reese
9%
Sonny Styles
9%
Fernando Mendoza
8%
Nico Iamaleava
7%
T.J. Parker
7%
Kadyn Proctor
6%
Ty Simpson
5%
LT Overton
5%
Garrett Nussmeier
2%
Drew Allar
1%
Dante Moore
17%
Carson Beck
32%
Trevor Goosby
34%
Kayden McDonald
32%
Jeremiyah Love
34%
Spencer Fano
37%
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the third overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus for the 2026 NFL Draft's No. 3 overall pick shows a dead heat among Kelvin Banks Jr., James Pearce Jr., and Mason Graham near 50% implied probabilities, driven by their elite 2024 performances amid uncertain draft order and team needs. Banks has anchored Texas' top-ranked offensive line through undefeated starts, bolstering his blindside protector stock; Pearce leads the nation in sacks for surging Tennessee, amplifying edge rusher demand; Graham disrupts as Michigan's interior anchor, fueling trench warfare value debates. Malaki Starks trails closely with Georgia's lockdown coverage, but no prospect has separated decisively in mocks or big boards, reflecting balanced scouting hype and the wisdom of crowds hedging positional versatility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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