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Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Market icon
Sports·Golf

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.3%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$60,845,486 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler 16%

Bryson Dechambeau 8%

Jon Rahm 7.3%

Rory McIlroy 7%

Polymarket

$60,845,486 Vol.

Scottie Scheffler

$735,101 Vol.

16%

Bryson Dechambeau

$212,462 Vol.

8%

Jon Rahm

$420,297 Vol.

7%

Rory McIlroy

$184,660 Vol.

7%

Ludvig Aberg

$353,239 Vol.

5%

Xander Schauffele

$8,389,177 Vol.

5%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$4,350,976 Vol.

4%

Cameron Young

$2,733,025 Vol.

3%

Tommy Fleetwood

$254,788 Vol.

3%

Hideki Matsuyama

$385,758 Vol.

3%

Justin Rose

$390,149 Vol.

3%

Jordan Spieth

$4,788,238 Vol.

2%

Akshay Bhatia

$281,033 Vol.

2%

Collin Morikawa

$276,072 Vol.

2%

Patrick Reed

$191,710 Vol.

2%

Brooks Koepka

$195,257 Vol.

2%

Viktor Hovland

$4,987,799 Vol.

2%

Nicolai Hojgaard

$289,112 Vol.

2%

Robert MacIntyre

$4,025,751 Vol.

2%

Justin Thomas

$159,477 Vol.

1%

Sepp Straka

$279,724 Vol.

1%

Shane Lowry

$6,615,856 Vol.

1%

Min Woo Lee

$678,571 Vol.

1%

Adam Scott

$1,748,070 Vol.

1%

Tyrrell Hatton

$2,268,416 Vol.

1%

Russell Henley

$809,886 Vol.

1%

Jason Day

$3,606,141 Vol.

1%

Patrick Cantlay

$200,998 Vol.

1%

Sam Burns

$238,096 Vol.

1%

Maverick McNealy

$151,928 Vol.

1%

Sahith Theegala

$399,151 Vol.

1%

Joaquin Niemann

$194,627 Vol.

1%

Sungjae Im

$135,218 Vol.

1%

Brian Harman

$154,598 Vol.

1%

Rasmus Hojgaard

$209,141 Vol.

1%

Cameron Smith

$118,529 Vol.

1%

Corey Conners

$206,424 Vol.

1%

Wyndham Clark

$111,532 Vol.

1%

Will Zalatoris

$273,823 Vol.

1%

Max Homa

$281,811 Vol.

1%

Keegan Bradley

$309,548 Vol.

<1%

Tiger Woods

$614,481 Vol.

<1%

Tony Finau

$299,375 Vol.

<1%

Sergio Garcia

$265,699 Vol.

<1%

Thomas Detry

$225,896 Vol.

<1%

Tom Kim

$643,230 Vol.

<1%

Billy Horschel

$485,993 Vol.

<1%

Phil Mickelson

$337,142 Vol.

<1%

Byeong Hun An

$745,533 Vol.

<1%

Charl Schwartzel

$416,739 Vol.

<1%

Aaron Rai

$469,099 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Watson

$215,932 Vol.

<1%

Dustin Johnson

$205,598 Vol.

<1%

Danny Willett

$348,513 Vol.

<1%

Fred Couples

$669,081 Vol.

<1%

Zach Johnson

$585,951 Vol.

<1%

Davis Thompson

$621,932 Vol.

<1%

Denny McCarthy

$681,501 Vol.

<1%

Taylor Pendrith

$418,025 Vol.

<1%

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's 15.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history—including victories in 2022 and 2024—elite ball-striking, par-5 scoring, and scrambling, even after withdrawing from the Texas Children's Houston Open for the birth of his second child, leaving him rested for the green jacket defense bid by Rory McIlroy. Bryson DeChambeau's 7.5% reflects back-to-back LIV Golf wins and a strong 2025 Masters final-group pairing with McIlroy, boosting his power off the tee on Augusta's demands. Jon Rahm at 7.3% draws from his 2023 win and LIV consistency, while McIlroy's 6.5% acknowledges defending champion status post-Grand Slam completion amid a wide-open field lacking dominant March PGA form.

Scottie Scheffler's 15.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history—including victories in 2022 and 2024—elite ball-striking, par-5 scoring, and scrambling, even after withdrawing from the Texas Children's Houston Open for the birth of his second child, leaving him rested for the green jacket defense bid by Rory McIlroy. Bryson DeChambeau's 7.5% reflects back-to-back LIV Golf wins and a strong 2025 Masters final-group pairing with McIlroy, boosting his power off the tee on Augusta's demands. Jon Rahm at 7.3% draws from his 2023 win and LIV consistency, while McIlroy's 6.5% acknowledges defending champion status post-Grand Slam completion amid a wide-open field lacking dominant March PGA form.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Scottie Scheffler's 15.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history—including victories in 2022 and 2024—elite ball-striking, par-5 scoring, and scrambling, even after withdrawing from the Texas Children's Houston Open for the birth of his second child, leaving him rested for the green jacket defense bid by Rory McIlroy. Bryson DeChambeau's 7.5% reflects back-to-back LIV Golf wins and a strong 2025 Masters final-group pairing with McIlroy, boosting his power off the tee on Augusta's demands. Jon Rahm at 7.3% draws from his 2023 win and LIV consistency, while McIlroy's 6.5% acknowledges defending champion status post-Grand Slam completion amid a wide-open field lacking dominant March PGA form.

Scottie Scheffler's 15.5% implied probability as trader consensus favorite stems from his unmatched Augusta National course history—including victories in 2022 and 2024—elite ball-striking, par-5 scoring, and scrambling, even after withdrawing from the Texas Children's Houston Open for the birth of his second child, leaving him rested for the green jacket defense bid by Rory McIlroy. Bryson DeChambeau's 7.5% reflects back-to-back LIV Golf wins and a strong 2025 Masters final-group pairing with McIlroy, boosting his power off the tee on Augusta's demands. Jon Rahm at 7.3% draws from his 2023 win and LIV consistency, while McIlroy's 6.5% acknowledges defending champion status post-Grand Slam completion amid a wide-open field lacking dominant March PGA form.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is a prediction market on Polymarket with 59+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, followed by "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " has generated $60.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Augusta National Invitational - Winner ," browse the 59+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " is "Scottie Scheffler" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryson Dechambeau" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Augusta National Invitational - Winner " define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.