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Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?

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Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?

The 2022 United States elections will be held on Tuesday, November 8, 2022. During this midterm election year, all voting seats in the House of Representatives will be contested.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidates are elected in a majority of districts in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2022 general election. A candidate shall be considered to be associated with a political party if such candidate is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party or in the event that such candidate, as of 12 AM ET on November 8, 2022, most recently publicly stated an intention to caucus with that party.

Determination of the winners of House seats will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results for each state.

If a political party other than the Democratic or Republican party wins a majority, the market will resolve 50/50.

Please note, the delegates and resident Commissioners who are members of the House will not be considered for this market.
Volume
$821,213
End Date
Nov 8, 2022
Market Opened
Jan 11, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
The 2022 United States elections will be held on Tuesday, November 8, 2022. During this midterm election year, all voting seats in the House of Representatives will be contested. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidates are elected in a majority of districts in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2022 general election. A candidate shall be considered to be associated with a political party if such candidate is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party or in the event that such candidate, as of 12 AM ET on November 8, 2022, most recently publicly stated an intention to caucus with that party. Determination of the winners of House seats will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results for each state. If a political party other than the Democratic or Republican party wins a majority, the market will resolve 50/50. Please note, the delegates and resident Commissioners who are members of the House will not be considered for this market.

Outcome proposed: Republican

No dispute

Final outcome: Republican

The 2022 United States elections will be held on Tuesday, November 8, 2022. During this midterm election year, all voting seats in the House of Representatives will be contested.

This market will resolve to the political party whose candidates are elected in a majority of districts in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2022 general election. A candidate shall be considered to be associated with a political party if such candidate is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party or in the event that such candidate, as of 12 AM ET on November 8, 2022, most recently publicly stated an intention to caucus with that party.

Determination of the winners of House seats will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results for each state.

If a political party other than the Democratic or Republican party wins a majority, the market will resolve 50/50.

Please note, the delegates and resident Commissioners who are members of the House will not be considered for this market.
Volume
$821,213
End Date
Nov 8, 2022
Market Opened
Jan 11, 2022, 7:00 PM ET
The 2022 United States elections will be held on Tuesday, November 8, 2022. During this midterm election year, all voting seats in the House of Representatives will be contested. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidates are elected in a majority of districts in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2022 general election. A candidate shall be considered to be associated with a political party if such candidate is elected with a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party or in the event that such candidate, as of 12 AM ET on November 8, 2022, most recently publicly stated an intention to caucus with that party. Determination of the winners of House seats will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2022 election results for each state. If a political party other than the Democratic or Republican party wins a majority, the market will resolve 50/50. Please note, the delegates and resident Commissioners who are members of the House will not be considered for this market.

Outcome proposed: Republican

No dispute

Final outcome: Republican

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?" has generated $821.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 12, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?" is "Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?" at just 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.