Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

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Qatar military action against Iran by Friday?

$116,868 Vol.

<1% chance

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Qatar initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between June 23, 2:00 PM ET and, June 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the Qatari military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a Qatari missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Qatari government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

Volume
$116,868
End Date
Jun 28, 2025
Created At
Jun 23, 2025, 5:50 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.

Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and 𝕏 could not.

Note: As with all markets currently displayed on Polymarket, there are no fees on this market.

$116,868 Vol.

Market icon

Qatar military action against Iran by Friday?

<1% chance

About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Qatar initiates a military action on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory or against any Iranian embassies or consulates between June 23, 2:00 PM ET and, June 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, a "military action" will be considered to be any use of force executed by the Qatari military on Iranian soil, airspace, or maritime territory (e.g. if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a Qatari missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Qatari government or a consensus of credible reporting. This includes, but is not limited to, airstrikes, naval attacks, or ground invasions. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

Volume
$116,868
End Date
Jun 28, 2025
Created At
Jun 23, 2025, 5:50 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

shield

Beware of external links.