Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability that NVIDIA (NVDA) will close the week of March 16 above $135, fueled by robust AI infrastructure demand and Blackwell GPU production ramp-up following the February 26 earnings beat, where revenue surged 78% year-over-year to $39 billion. Sustaining this momentum hinges on key macro catalysts: March 12 CPI (consensus 0.3% MoM) and the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where markets price a 75% chance of rates steady at 4.25-4.50%. At 55x forward P/E, NVDA's premium valuation leaves it vulnerable to any demand slowdown or tariff escalations, with technical support at $128 offering traders a clear risk level.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$50,349 Vol.
$160
100%
$170
100%
$175
<1%
$180
<1%
$210
<1%
$50,349 Vol.
$160
100%
$170
100%
$175
<1%
$180
<1%
$210
<1%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 62% probability that NVIDIA (NVDA) will close the week of March 16 above $135, fueled by robust AI infrastructure demand and Blackwell GPU production ramp-up following the February 26 earnings beat, where revenue surged 78% year-over-year to $39 billion. Sustaining this momentum hinges on key macro catalysts: March 12 CPI (consensus 0.3% MoM) and the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where markets price a 75% chance of rates steady at 4.25-4.50%. At 55x forward P/E, NVDA's premium valuation leaves it vulnerable to any demand slowdown or tariff escalations, with technical support at $128 offering traders a clear risk level.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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