Ilya Sorokin's league-leading GSAx/60 (0.687 per MoneyPuck) and elite .914 save percentage among qualifiers, coupled with a Vezina-high seven shutouts over 48 games, have solidified trader consensus at 69.4% implied probability, as highlighted in NHL EDGE analysis two days ago emphasizing his .881 high-danger SV% and 407 high-danger saves amid the Islanders' Eastern Conference playoff push. Andrei Vasilevskiy trails at 23.6% with NHL-leading 35 wins, second-best 2.33 GAA, and 51 games played for the Lightning, reflecting strong volume stats despite middling advanced metrics (fourth in GSAx/60). Scott Wedgewood's top 2.19 GAA and .916 SV% garner 2.4% support, tempered by fewer 39 starts for Colorado. Recent March 29 stat updates underscore Sorokin's edge in quality starts against top opponents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedIlya Sorokin 73.5%
Andrei Vasilevskiy 23.6%
Scott Wedgewood 2.5%
Jeremy Swayman 1.6%
$31,072 Vol.
$31,072 Vol.
Ilya Sorokin
74%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
24%
Scott Wedgewood
2%
Jeremy Swayman
2%
John Gibson
1%
Filip Gustavsson
1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Joonas Korpisalo
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Alex Lyon
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Arvid Soderblom
<1%
Alex Nedeljkovic
<1%
Connor Ingram
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Alexandar Georgiev
<1%
Sam Montembeault
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Anthony Stolarz
<1%
Spencer Knight
<1%
Pyotr Kochetkov
<1%
Philipp Grubauer
<1%
Vitek Vanecek
<1%
Eric Comrie
<1%
Calvin Pickard
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Petr Mrazek
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Karel Vejmelka
<1%
Lukas Dostal
<1%
Joseph Woll
<1%
Jake Allen
<1%
Casey DeSmith
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
<1%
Jakub Dobes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Joel Hofer
<1%
Jonathan Quick
<1%
Anton Forsberg
<1%
Jonas Johansson
<1%
Elvis Merzlikins
<1%
Charlie Lindgren
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Joey Daccord
<1%
Tristan Jarry
<1%
Jet Greaves
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Cam Talbot
<1%
Justus Annunen
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Ilya Samsonov
<1%
David Rittich
<1%
Kevin Lankinen
<1%
Ivan Fedotov
<1%
Semyon Varlamov
<1%
Samuel Ersson
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Ilya Sorokin 73.5%
Andrei Vasilevskiy 23.6%
Scott Wedgewood 2.5%
Jeremy Swayman 1.6%
$31,072 Vol.
$31,072 Vol.
Ilya Sorokin
74%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
24%
Scott Wedgewood
2%
Jeremy Swayman
2%
John Gibson
1%
Filip Gustavsson
1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Joonas Korpisalo
<1%
Dustin Wolf
<1%
Alex Lyon
<1%
Igor Shesterkin
<1%
Logan Thompson
<1%
Jordan Binnington
<1%
Arvid Soderblom
<1%
Alex Nedeljkovic
<1%
Connor Ingram
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Alexandar Georgiev
<1%
Sam Montembeault
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Anthony Stolarz
<1%
Spencer Knight
<1%
Pyotr Kochetkov
<1%
Philipp Grubauer
<1%
Vitek Vanecek
<1%
Eric Comrie
<1%
Calvin Pickard
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Petr Mrazek
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Karel Vejmelka
<1%
Lukas Dostal
<1%
Joseph Woll
<1%
Jake Allen
<1%
Casey DeSmith
<1%
Juuse Saros
<1%
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
<1%
Jakub Dobes
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Joel Hofer
<1%
Jonathan Quick
<1%
Anton Forsberg
<1%
Jonas Johansson
<1%
Elvis Merzlikins
<1%
Charlie Lindgren
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Joey Daccord
<1%
Tristan Jarry
<1%
Jet Greaves
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Cam Talbot
<1%
Justus Annunen
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Ilya Samsonov
<1%
David Rittich
<1%
Kevin Lankinen
<1%
Ivan Fedotov
<1%
Semyon Varlamov
<1%
Samuel Ersson
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ilya Sorokin's league-leading GSAx/60 (0.687 per MoneyPuck) and elite .914 save percentage among qualifiers, coupled with a Vezina-high seven shutouts over 48 games, have solidified trader consensus at 69.4% implied probability, as highlighted in NHL EDGE analysis two days ago emphasizing his .881 high-danger SV% and 407 high-danger saves amid the Islanders' Eastern Conference playoff push. Andrei Vasilevskiy trails at 23.6% with NHL-leading 35 wins, second-best 2.33 GAA, and 51 games played for the Lightning, reflecting strong volume stats despite middling advanced metrics (fourth in GSAx/60). Scott Wedgewood's top 2.19 GAA and .916 SV% garner 2.4% support, tempered by fewer 39 starts for Colorado. Recent March 29 stat updates underscore Sorokin's edge in quality starts against top opponents.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions