Market icon

2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick

Market icon

2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick

Gavin McKenna 67%

Ivar Stenberg 26%

Keaton Verhoeff 7.2%

Chase Reid 4.3%

Polymarket

$43,602 Vol.

Gavin McKenna 67%

Ivar Stenberg 26%

Keaton Verhoeff 7.2%

Chase Reid 4.3%

Polymarket

$43,602 Vol.

Gavin McKenna

$3,582 Vol.

67%

Ivar Stenberg

$0 Vol.

26%

Keaton Verhoeff

$0 Vol.

7%

Chase Reid

$2,105 Vol.

4%

Mikey Berchild

$0 Vol.

2%

Ilya Morozov

$0 Vol.

2%

Mathis Preston

$0 Vol.

1%

Niklas Aaram-Olsen

$965 Vol.

1%

Ethan Belchetz

$902 Vol.

1%

Nikita Shcherbakov

$0 Vol.

1%

Alessandro Di Iorio

$828 Vol.

1%

Adam Nemec

$0 Vol.

1%

Maddox Dagenais

$31,166 Vol.

1%

Brooks Rogowski

$923 Vol.

1%

Xavier Villeneuve

$923 Vol.

1%

Giorgos Pantelas

$1,282 Vol.

1%

Wyatt Cullen

$925 Vol.

1%

Adam Goljer

$0 Vol.

1%

Jack Hextall

$0 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Command

$0 Vol.

<1%

Carson Carels

$0 Vol.

<1%

Liam Ruck

$0 Vol.

<1%

Alberts Smits

$0 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Malhotra

$0 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Suvanto

$0 Vol.

<1%

Malte Gustafsson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tynan Lawrence

$0 Vol.

<1%

Viggo Björck

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Lin

$0 Vol.

<1%

Daxon Rudolph

$0 Vol.

<1%

Adam Novotný

$0 Vol.

<1%

Elton Hermansson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Juho Piiparinen

$0 Vol.

<1%

JP Hurlbert

$0 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Nordmark

$0 Vol.

<1%

Oscar Hemming

$0 Vol.

<1%

Yegor Shilov

$0 Vol.

<1%

William Hakansson

$0 Vol.

<1%

Nikita Klepov

$0 Vol.

<1%

Pierce Mbuyi

$0 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Roobroeck

$0 Vol.

<1%

Tomas Chrenko

$0 Vol.

<1%

Jaxon Cover

$0 Vol.

<1%

Beckham Edwards

$0 Vol.

<1%

Simas Ignatavicius

$0 Vol.

<1%

Victor Plante

$0 Vol.

<1%

Luke Schairer

$0 Vol.

<1%

Casey Mutryn

$0 Vol.

<1%

Adam Valentini

$0 Vol.

<1%

Oscar Holmertz

$0 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gavin McKenna commands 67% implied probability as the consensus 2026 NHL Draft top pick after dominating the U17 World Hockey Challenge last month, earning MVP honors with 10 points in seven games to lead Canada to gold and solidifying his status as #1 across TSN, The Athletic, FCHockey, and NHL Central Scouting midterm rankings. His elite WHL scoring with the Medicine Hat Tigers underscores offensive dynamism that traders favor heavily. Swedish defenseman Ivar Stenberg's 25.5% reflects rising stock from strong SHL juniors play and international scouting buzz, positioning him as a top blue-liner alternative. Viggo Björck at 13.5% gains from similar Euro prospect hype, though the market emphasizes McKenna's separation amid early 2008-born evaluations.

This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026.

If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion.

If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,602
End Date
Jun 27, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the player drafted No. 1 overall in the 2026 NHL Draft scheduled for June 26-27, 2026. If the 2026 NHL Draft is postponed, this market will stay open until its completion. If the 2026 NHL draft is cancelled or the first pick is not definitively known by July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL, including the live broadcast of the 2026 NHL draft; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Gavin McKenna commands 67% implied probability as the consensus 2026 NHL Draft top pick after dominating the U17 World Hockey Challenge last month, earning MVP honors with 10 points in seven games to lead Canada to gold and solidifying his status as #1 across TSN, The Athletic, FCHockey, and NHL Central Scouting midterm rankings. His elite WHL scoring with the Medicine Hat Tigers underscores offensive dynamism that traders favor heavily. Swedish defenseman Ivar Stenberg's 25.5% reflects rising stock from strong SHL juniors play and international scouting buzz, positioning him as a top blue-liner alternative. Viggo Björck at 13.5% gains from similar Euro prospect hype, though the market emphasizes McKenna's separation amid early 2008-born evaluations.

Gavin McKenna commands 67% implied probability as the consensus 2026 NHL Draft top pick after dominating the U17 World Hockey Challenge last month, earning MVP honors with 10 points in seven games to lead Canada to gold and solidifying his status as #1 across TSN, The Athletic, FCHockey, and NHL Central Scouting midterm rankings. His elite WHL scoring with the Medicine Hat Tigers underscores offensive dynamism that traders favor heavily. Swedish defenseman Ivar Stenberg's 25.5% reflects rising stock from strong SHL juniors play and international scouting buzz, positioning him as a top blue-liner alternative. Viggo Björck at 13.5% gains from similar Euro prospect hype, though the market emphasizes McKenna's separation amid early 2008-born evaluations.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin McKenna" at 67%, followed by "Ivar Stenberg" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick" has generated $43.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick" is "Gavin McKenna" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ivar Stenberg" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 NHL Draft: 1st Overall Pick" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.