Trader consensus overwhelmingly pins Lucknow's highest temperature on March 18 at 34°C, propelled by aligned forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime maxima of 33-35°C amid clear skies and light northeasterly winds. Supporting evidence includes recent observations from IMD stations showing stable early-March highs around 32-34°C, fitting seasonal norms without heatwave precursors like low humidity or hot westerly surges. This positioning reflects low forecast divergence, with historical data indicating rare March spikes above 36°C. Realistic challenges include an abrupt upper-level ridge amplifying solar heating or urban microclimate effects at the airport station, though model ensembles assign under 5% odds to exceeding 35°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 18?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 18?
34°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$92,898 Vol.
$92,898 Vol.
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
$92,898 Vol.
$92,898 Vol.
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 14, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly pins Lucknow's highest temperature on March 18 at 34°C, propelled by aligned forecasts from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime maxima of 33-35°C amid clear skies and light northeasterly winds. Supporting evidence includes recent observations from IMD stations showing stable early-March highs around 32-34°C, fitting seasonal norms without heatwave precursors like low humidity or hot westerly surges. This positioning reflects low forecast divergence, with historical data indicating rare March spikes above 36°C. Realistic challenges include an abrupt upper-level ridge amplifying solar heating or urban microclimate effects at the airport station, though model ensembles assign under 5% odds to exceeding 35°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions