Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 17, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts predicting a daytime maximum of exactly 35°C amid typical early-spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical data shows March highs in Lucknow averaging 32-36°C, aligning with current model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF that indicate stable atmospheric patterns suppressing extremes. This positioning reflects low volatility in short-range numerical weather prediction for the region. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation from clearing clouds or a stalled high-pressure ridge, potentially pushing temperatures toward 36-37°C, though such deviations occur in under 10% of similar setups per climatological records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 17?
35°C 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$244,567 Vol.
$244,567 Vol.
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
35°C 100.0%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$244,567 Vol.
$244,567 Vol.
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Lucknow's highest temperature on March 17, driven by India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts predicting a daytime maximum of exactly 35°C amid typical early-spring conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. Historical data shows March highs in Lucknow averaging 32-36°C, aligning with current model ensembles from GFS and ECMWF that indicate stable atmospheric patterns suppressing extremes. This positioning reflects low volatility in short-range numerical weather prediction for the region. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen surge in solar insolation from clearing clouds or a stalled high-pressure ridge, potentially pushing temperatures toward 36-37°C, though such deviations occur in under 10% of similar setups per climatological records.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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