Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a maximum temperature of 35°C in Lucknow on March 17, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting highs in the 34-36°C range amid dry, clear conditions typical for mid-March. Historical data shows March peaks averaging 32-35°C in the city, with current weather models accounting for lingering winter influences and gradual warming from continental air masses. This positioning aligns with verified satellite observations and ground station trends showing stable atmospheric patterns. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen heat dome intensification—potentially pushing toward 36°C or higher—or model divergence from unpredicted cloud cover, though probabilities remain low per ensemble predictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 17?
35°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$201,424 Vol.
$201,424 Vol.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$201,424 Vol.
$201,424 Vol.
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a maximum temperature of 35°C in Lucknow on March 17, driven by the latest India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting highs in the 34-36°C range amid dry, clear conditions typical for mid-March. Historical data shows March peaks averaging 32-35°C in the city, with current weather models accounting for lingering winter influences and gradual warming from continental air masses. This positioning aligns with verified satellite observations and ground station trends showing stable atmospheric patterns. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen heat dome intensification—potentially pushing toward 36°C or higher—or model divergence from unpredicted cloud cover, though probabilities remain low per ensemble predictions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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