Trader consensus pins the highest temperature in Dallas on March 17 at 62-63°F with near-certainty, propelled by National Weather Service guidance and converging GFS/ECMWF ensemble models forecasting a cool high under post-frontal subsidence and northerly flow. Verified soundings confirm stable boundary-layer conditions capping highs near this mark, aligning with climatological precedents for mid-March cold snaps in North Texas (historical average ~67°F). Key resolution hinges on official DFW airport observations. Upside risks are minimal but could arise from unanticipated shortwave ridging or model biases inflating cool biases, as seen in 10-15% of similar setups; warming to 64°F+ would require stalled fronts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on March 17?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 17?
62-63°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$195,549 Vol.
$195,549 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
62-63°F 100.0%
55°F or below <1%
56-57°F <1%
58-59°F <1%
$195,549 Vol.
$195,549 Vol.
55°F or below
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
Yes
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Mar 13, 2026, 3:30 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins the highest temperature in Dallas on March 17 at 62-63°F with near-certainty, propelled by National Weather Service guidance and converging GFS/ECMWF ensemble models forecasting a cool high under post-frontal subsidence and northerly flow. Verified soundings confirm stable boundary-layer conditions capping highs near this mark, aligning with climatological precedents for mid-March cold snaps in North Texas (historical average ~67°F). Key resolution hinges on official DFW airport observations. Upside risks are minimal but could arise from unanticipated shortwave ridging or model biases inflating cool biases, as seen in 10-15% of similar setups; warming to 64°F+ would require stalled fronts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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