Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5¢ on Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by April 30, driven by repeated procedural defeats in March 2026 votes on H.Con.Res.38, which sought to direct President Trump to withdraw U.S. forces from unauthorized hostilities against Iran under the 1973 War Powers Resolution. The House rejected it narrowly 212-219 on March 5, while Senate Republicans blocked cloture 53-47 on March 4 and again later that month, reflecting GOP support for executive flexibility amid escalating Middle East tensions. House Democratic leaders delayed further floor action until mid-April post-recess, but insufficient bipartisan backing and historical patterns of such measures stalling—despite sponsors like Reps. Massie and Khanna—signal slim passage prospects before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedNEW
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Apr 30, 2026
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Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5¢ on Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by April 30, driven by repeated procedural defeats in March 2026 votes on H.Con.Res.38, which sought to direct President Trump to withdraw U.S. forces from unauthorized hostilities against Iran under the 1973 War Powers Resolution. The House rejected it narrowly 212-219 on March 5, while Senate Republicans blocked cloture 53-47 on March 4 and again later that month, reflecting GOP support for executive flexibility amid escalating Middle East tensions. House Democratic leaders delayed further floor action until mid-April post-recess, but insufficient bipartisan backing and historical patterns of such measures stalling—despite sponsors like Reps. Massie and Khanna—signal slim passage prospects before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ET
Volume
$9,935End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5¢ on Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by April 30, driven by repeated procedural defeats in March 2026 votes on H.Con.Res.38, which sought to direct President Trump to withdraw U.S. forces from unauthorized hostilities against Iran under the 1973 War Powers Resolution. The House rejected it narrowly 212-219 on March 5, while Senate Republicans blocked cloture 53-47 on March 4 and again later that month, reflecting GOP support for executive flexibility amid escalating Middle East tensions. House Democratic leaders delayed further floor action until mid-April post-recess, but insufficient bipartisan backing and historical patterns of such measures stalling—despite sponsors like Reps. Massie and Khanna—signal slim passage prospects before the deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,313End Date
Apr 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 86.5¢ on Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by April 30, driven by repeated procedural defeats in March 2026 votes on H.Con.Res.38, which sought to direct President Trump to withdraw U.S. forces from unauthorized hostilities against Iran under the 1973 War Powers Resolution. The House rejected it narrowly 212-219 on March 5, while Senate Republicans blocked cloture 53-47 on March 4 and again later that month, reflecting GOP support for executive flexibility amid escalating Middle East tensions. House Democratic leaders delayed further floor action until mid-April post-recess, but insufficient bipartisan backing and historical patterns of such measures stalling—despite sponsors like Reps. Massie and Khanna—signal slim passage prospects before the deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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