Recent diplomatic progress toward a U.S.-Iran agreement and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has driven sharp declines in WTI crude from peaks above $100 per barrel, with July futures settling near $84.88 amid canceled strikes and easing sanctions expectations. Persistent Middle East supply shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day continue to pressure global inventories, which EIA projects will draw down 6.3 million barrels per day in Q2, supporting elevated prices near $105 under sustained disruption assumptions. Trader sentiment remains split between the $77–$84 and >$84 buckets as markets weigh near-term tightness against rapid normalization risks, with weekly EIA inventory reports and any final diplomatic milestones serving as key near-term catalysts ahead of June contract expiration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНа что будет рассчитана цена на сырую нефть (CL) в июне?
$77-$84 47%
>$84 28%
$70–$77 11.0%
$63-$70 2.8%
$232,919 Объем
$232,919 Объем
< $42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56–$63
2%
$63-$70
3%
$70–$77
11%
$77-$84
40%
>$84
28%
$77-$84 47%
>$84 28%
$70–$77 11.0%
$63-$70 2.8%
$232,919 Объем
$232,919 Объем
< $42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56–$63
2%
$63-$70
3%
$70–$77
11%
$77-$84
40%
>$84
28%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Открытие рынка: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent diplomatic progress toward a U.S.-Iran agreement and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz has driven sharp declines in WTI crude from peaks above $100 per barrel, with July futures settling near $84.88 amid canceled strikes and easing sanctions expectations. Persistent Middle East supply shut-ins exceeding 11 million barrels per day continue to pressure global inventories, which EIA projects will draw down 6.3 million barrels per day in Q2, supporting elevated prices near $105 under sustained disruption assumptions. Trader sentiment remains split between the $77–$84 and >$84 buckets as markets weigh near-term tightness against rapid normalization risks, with weekly EIA inventory reports and any final diplomatic milestones serving as key near-term catalysts ahead of June contract expiration.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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