**Geopolitical supply shocks from the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict dominate June 2026 crude oil (CL) settlement pricing.** The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February has idled over 11 million barrels per day of Middle East production, triggering unprecedented global inventory draws of roughly 6.3 million b/d in Q2 and supporting Brent averages near $105-107 through May. WTI futures for nearby contracts currently trade around $84-86, with recent sessions reflecting volatility from unconfirmed ceasefire reports and potential Hormuz reopening. Elevated prices have prompted OPEC to cut its 2026 demand-growth forecast to 970,000 b/d while demand destruction accelerates. These fundamentals underpin the 58.5% market-implied probability for a June settlement above $84, though any finalized de-escalation could rapidly ease pressure before month-end resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWhat will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
What will Crude Oil (CL) settle at in June?
>$84 59%
$77-$84 25%
$70-$77 12.2%
$63-$70 3.5%
$229,755 ปริมาณ
$229,755 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
<1%
$42-$49
<1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
2%
$63-$70
3%
$70-$77
12%
$77-$84
22%
>$84
59%
>$84 59%
$77-$84 25%
$70-$77 12.2%
$63-$70 3.5%
$229,755 ปริมาณ
$229,755 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
<$42
$22,176 ปริมาณ
<1%
$42-$49
$10,850 ปริมาณ
<1%
$49-$56
$12,948 ปริมาณ
1%
$56-$63
$16,107 ปริมาณ
2%
$63-$70
$29,696 ปริมาณ
3%
$70-$77
$21,175 ปริมาณ
12%
$77-$84
$20,003 ปริมาณ
22%
>$84
$96,800 ปริมาณ
59%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.**Geopolitical supply shocks from the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict dominate June 2026 crude oil (CL) settlement pricing.** The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February has idled over 11 million barrels per day of Middle East production, triggering unprecedented global inventory draws of roughly 6.3 million b/d in Q2 and supporting Brent averages near $105-107 through May. WTI futures for nearby contracts currently trade around $84-86, with recent sessions reflecting volatility from unconfirmed ceasefire reports and potential Hormuz reopening. Elevated prices have prompted OPEC to cut its 2026 demand-growth forecast to 970,000 b/d while demand destruction accelerates. These fundamentals underpin the 58.5% market-implied probability for a June settlement above $84, though any finalized de-escalation could rapidly ease pressure before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$229,755วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.**Geopolitical supply shocks from the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict dominate June 2026 crude oil (CL) settlement pricing.** The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February has idled over 11 million barrels per day of Middle East production, triggering unprecedented global inventory draws of roughly 6.3 million b/d in Q2 and supporting Brent averages near $105-107 through May. WTI futures for nearby contracts currently trade around $84-86, with recent sessions reflecting volatility from unconfirmed ceasefire reports and potential Hormuz reopening. Elevated prices have prompted OPEC to cut its 2026 demand-growth forecast to 970,000 b/d while demand destruction accelerates. These fundamentals underpin the 58.5% market-implied probability for a June settlement above $84, though any finalized de-escalation could rapidly ease pressure before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$229,755วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Geopolitical supply shocks from the ongoing US-Israel-Iran conflict dominate June 2026 crude oil (CL) settlement pricing.** The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz since late February has idled over 11 million barrels per day of Middle East production, triggering unprecedented global inventory draws of roughly 6.3 million b/d in Q2 and supporting Brent averages near $105-107 through May. WTI futures for nearby contracts currently trade around $84-86, with recent sessions reflecting volatility from unconfirmed ceasefire reports and potential Hormuz reopening. Elevated prices have prompted OPEC to cut its 2026 demand-growth forecast to 970,000 b/d while demand destruction accelerates. These fundamentals underpin the 58.5% market-implied probability for a June settlement above $84, though any finalized de-escalation could rapidly ease pressure before month-end resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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