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icon for 70°F in NYC in December?

70°F in NYC in December?

icon for 70°F in NYC in December?

70°F in NYC in December?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$94,405 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$94,405 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a high temperature of 70°F or greater is recorded in Central Park, New York City for any day between December 1 and December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve as soon as a temperature of 70°F or greater is recorded for the named weather station. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the NOWData tab on the climate page for New York City (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx) when the location is set to "NY-Central Park Area", and "Daily data for a month" is selected, with the date set to "2024-12". The figures in the "Maximum" column will be used to resolve this market. If this data is unavailable at resolution time, this market may remain open until January 14, 2025 has passed, after which another resolution source will be selected.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a high temperature of 70°F or greater is recorded in Central Park, New York City for any day between December 1 and December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as a temperature of 70°F or greater is recorded for the named weather station.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the NOWData tab on the climate page for New York City (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx) when the location is set to "NY-Central Park Area", and "Daily data for a month" is selected, with the date set to "2024-12". The figures in the "Maximum" column will be used to resolve this market.

If this data is unavailable at resolution time, this market may remain open until January 14, 2025 has passed, after which another resolution source will be selected.
Volume
$94,405
End Date
Dec 31, 2024
Market Opened
Nov 22, 2024, 1:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a high temperature of 70°F or greater is recorded in Central Park, New York City for any day between December 1 and December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve as soon as a temperature of 70°F or greater is recorded for the named weather station. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the NOWData tab on the climate page for New York City (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx) when the location is set to "NY-Central Park Area", and "Daily data for a month" is selected, with the date set to "2024-12". The figures in the "Maximum" column will be used to resolve this market. If this data is unavailable at resolution time, this market may remain open until January 14, 2025 has passed, after which another resolution source will be selected.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a high temperature of 70°F or greater is recorded in Central Park, New York City for any day between December 1 and December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve as soon as a temperature of 70°F or greater is recorded for the named weather station. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the NOWData tab on the climate page for New York City (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx) when the location is set to "NY-Central Park Area", and "Daily data for a month" is selected, with the date set to "2024-12". The figures in the "Maximum" column will be used to resolve this market. If this data is unavailable at resolution time, this market may remain open until January 14, 2025 has passed, after which another resolution source will be selected.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a high temperature of 70°F or greater is recorded in Central Park, New York City for any day between December 1 and December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market may resolve as soon as a temperature of 70°F or greater is recorded for the named weather station.

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the NOWData tab on the climate page for New York City (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx) when the location is set to "NY-Central Park Area", and "Daily data for a month" is selected, with the date set to "2024-12". The figures in the "Maximum" column will be used to resolve this market.

If this data is unavailable at resolution time, this market may remain open until January 14, 2025 has passed, after which another resolution source will be selected.
Volume
$94,405
End Date
Dec 31, 2024
Market Opened
Nov 22, 2024, 1:14 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a high temperature of 70°F or greater is recorded in Central Park, New York City for any day between December 1 and December 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market may resolve as soon as a temperature of 70°F or greater is recorded for the named weather station. The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the NOWData tab on the climate page for New York City (https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx) when the location is set to "NY-Central Park Area", and "Daily data for a month" is selected, with the date set to "2024-12". The figures in the "Maximum" column will be used to resolve this market. If this data is unavailable at resolution time, this market may remain open until January 14, 2025 has passed, after which another resolution source will be selected.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"70°F in NYC in December?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "70°F in NYC in December?" has generated $94.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 22, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "70°F in NYC in December?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "70°F in NYC in December?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "70°F in NYC in December?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.