Canadian wildfire smoke transported by northerly winds has driven Columbus AQI into the very unhealthy to hazardous range (200–300+), primarily via elevated PM2.5 concentrations, according to real-time AirNow and Ohio EPA monitoring. This follows a statewide advisory effective July 16, 2026, with similar intrusions noted in prior seasons when stagnant high-pressure patterns limit dispersion. Ground-level ozone formation may add to levels under hot, sunny conditions, though particle pollution dominates the current spike. Traders are tracking National Weather Service wind shifts and potential precipitation that could clear smoke by late week, alongside MORPC daily forecasts and AirNow updates that often resolve markets tied to 100 AQI thresholds. Historical analogs show rapid AQI drops once smoke plumes shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedColumbus Air Quality Index below 100 by...?
$10,872 Vol.
July 18
Yes
July 19
Yes
July 20
Yes
July 21
Yes
$10,872 Vol.
July 18
Yes
July 19
Yes
July 20
Yes
July 21
Yes
This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=ohio. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "Columbus" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column.
This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 17, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=ohioResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=ohio. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "Columbus" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column.
This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolution Source
https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=ohioResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Canadian wildfire smoke transported by northerly winds has driven Columbus AQI into the very unhealthy to hazardous range (200–300+), primarily via elevated PM2.5 concentrations, according to real-time AirNow and Ohio EPA monitoring. This follows a statewide advisory effective July 16, 2026, with similar intrusions noted in prior seasons when stagnant high-pressure patterns limit dispersion. Ground-level ozone formation may add to levels under hot, sunny conditions, though particle pollution dominates the current spike. Traders are tracking National Weather Service wind shifts and potential precipitation that could clear smoke by late week, alongside MORPC daily forecasts and AirNow updates that often resolve markets tied to 100 AQI thresholds. Historical analogs show rapid AQI drops once smoke plumes shift.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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