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icon for Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by...?

Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by...?

icon for Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by...?

Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by...?

$10,872 Vol.

Jul 18, 2026
Polymarket

$10,872 Vol.

Polymarket

July 18

$8,217 Vol.

Yes

July 19

$965 Vol.

Yes

July 20

$943 Vol.

Yes

July 21

$748 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Columbus" has a PM2.5 Air Quality Index of below 100 between July 17, 2026 and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=ohio. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "Columbus" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column. This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Canadian wildfire smoke transported by northerly winds has driven Columbus AQI into the very unhealthy to hazardous range (200–300+), primarily via elevated PM2.5 concentrations, according to real-time AirNow and Ohio EPA monitoring. This follows a statewide advisory effective July 16, 2026, with similar intrusions noted in prior seasons when stagnant high-pressure patterns limit dispersion. Ground-level ozone formation may add to levels under hot, sunny conditions, though particle pollution dominates the current spike. Traders are tracking National Weather Service wind shifts and potential precipitation that could clear smoke by late week, alongside MORPC daily forecasts and AirNow updates that often resolve markets tied to 100 AQI thresholds. Historical analogs show rapid AQI drops once smoke plumes shift.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Columbus" has a PM2.5 Air Quality Index of below 100 between July 17, 2026 and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=ohio. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "Columbus" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column.

This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$10,872
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Columbus" has a PM2.5 Air Quality Index of below 100 between July 17, 2026 and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=ohio. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "Columbus" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column. This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Columbus" has a PM2.5 Air Quality Index of below 100 between July 17, 2026 and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=ohio. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "Columbus" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column. This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Canadian wildfire smoke transported by northerly winds has driven Columbus AQI into the very unhealthy to hazardous range (200–300+), primarily via elevated PM2.5 concentrations, according to real-time AirNow and Ohio EPA monitoring. This follows a statewide advisory effective July 16, 2026, with similar intrusions noted in prior seasons when stagnant high-pressure patterns limit dispersion. Ground-level ozone formation may add to levels under hot, sunny conditions, though particle pollution dominates the current spike. Traders are tracking National Weather Service wind shifts and potential precipitation that could clear smoke by late week, alongside MORPC daily forecasts and AirNow updates that often resolve markets tied to 100 AQI thresholds. Historical analogs show rapid AQI drops once smoke plumes shift.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Columbus" has a PM2.5 Air Quality Index of below 100 between July 17, 2026 and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=ohio. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "Columbus" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column.

This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$10,872
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 17, 2026, 12:36 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Columbus" has a PM2.5 Air Quality Index of below 100 between July 17, 2026 and the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution source will be https://www.airnow.gov/state/?name=ohio. To get to the figures used to resolve this market, select the "Historical Air Quality" tab, then find the finalized figure in the "Columbus" row under the "Daily AQI for PM2.5" column. This market may remain open for two days after the specified date to confirm the daily AQI figures for the specified timeframe. If the figures remain unavailable, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "July 18" at 100%, followed by "July 19" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by...?" has generated $10.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by...?" is "July 18" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "July 19" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.