A bunched leaderboard entering the final round at Innisbrook's Copperhead Course drives the tight trader consensus for Valspar Championship winner, with Thorbjorn Olesen, Emiliano Grillo, Mackenzie Hughes, and Patrick Fishburn clustered within two strokes atop probabilities near 28%. Olesen's third-round 66 vaulted him into contention via hot putting on the Snake Pit stretch, while Grillo's ball-striking consistency and Hughes' course history (T7 last year) keep them viable amid light winds favoring aggressive play. Recent form edges out big names like Fitzpatrick (lurking at 12.4%), but volatility on firm, undulating greens tempers any standout favorite, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this unpredictable closing stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSung-Jae Im 22.1%
Matt Fitzpatrick 12.3%
Chandler Blanchet 7.9%
David Lipsky 7.3%
$144,356 Vol.
$144,356 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
22%
Matt Fitzpatrick
12%
Chandler Blanchet
8%
David Lipsky
7%
Doug Ghim
6%
Jacob Bridgeman
5%
Brooks Koepka
5%
Corey Conners
5%
Marco Penge
4%
Pierceson Coody
4%
Davis Chatfield
3%
Xander Schauffele
3%
David Ford
3%
Tony Finau
3%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
2%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Blades Brown
1%
Chandler Phillips
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
23%
Chad Ramey
22%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Kevin Roy
21%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
20%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
-
Patrick Fishburn
-
Emiliano Grillo
-
Mackenzie Hughes
-
Tom Kim
-
Andrew Novak
-
Thorbjorn Olesen
-
Sung-Jae Im 22.1%
Matt Fitzpatrick 12.3%
Chandler Blanchet 7.9%
David Lipsky 7.3%
$144,356 Vol.
$144,356 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
22%
Matt Fitzpatrick
12%
Chandler Blanchet
8%
David Lipsky
7%
Doug Ghim
6%
Jacob Bridgeman
5%
Brooks Koepka
5%
Corey Conners
5%
Marco Penge
4%
Pierceson Coody
4%
Davis Chatfield
3%
Xander Schauffele
3%
David Ford
3%
Tony Finau
3%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
2%
Ryo Hisatsune
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Patrick Cantlay
2%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Blades Brown
1%
Chandler Phillips
1%
John Parry
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
23%
Chad Ramey
22%
Patrick Rodgers
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Kevin Roy
21%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
20%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Henry Lebioda
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
<1%
Takumi Kanaya
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
-
Patrick Fishburn
-
Emiliano Grillo
-
Mackenzie Hughes
-
Tom Kim
-
Andrew Novak
-
Thorbjorn Olesen
-
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A bunched leaderboard entering the final round at Innisbrook's Copperhead Course drives the tight trader consensus for Valspar Championship winner, with Thorbjorn Olesen, Emiliano Grillo, Mackenzie Hughes, and Patrick Fishburn clustered within two strokes atop probabilities near 28%. Olesen's third-round 66 vaulted him into contention via hot putting on the Snake Pit stretch, while Grillo's ball-striking consistency and Hughes' course history (T7 last year) keep them viable amid light winds favoring aggressive play. Recent form edges out big names like Fitzpatrick (lurking at 12.4%), but volatility on firm, undulating greens tempers any standout favorite, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in this unpredictable closing stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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