Blades Brown leads trader consensus at 25.9% implied probability for the Valspar Championship winner, buoyed by his strong opening rounds at Innisbrook's Copperhead Course, where precision iron play and putting have separated the field amid gusty winds. Matt McCarty (23.4%) and Thorbjorn Olesen (23.0%) lurk one stroke back, their recent form—including McCarty's hot putter and Olesen's ball-striking prowess—keeping the race tight with two rounds left. Sung-Jae Im and Jeremy Paul round out the top five under 22%, reflecting the bunched leaderboard after 36 holes, where no one holds more than a two-shot edge. Course history favors steady performers over big names like Fitzpatrick (11.6%), as Copperhead's narrow fairways punish errant drives, amplifying volatility in final-day pairings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedSung-Jae Im 22.2%
Matt Fitzpatrick 12.0%
David Lipsky 7.3%
Chandler Blanchet 6.0%
$138,140 Vol.
$138,140 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
22%
Matt Fitzpatrick
12%
David Lipsky
7%
Chandler Blanchet
6%
Doug Ghim
6%
Jacob Bridgeman
6%
Brooks Koepka
5%
Marco Penge
4%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Corey Conners
3%
Tom Kim
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Max Homa
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Davis Chatfield
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Blades Brown
25%
David Ford
1%
John Parry
1%
Chandler Phillips
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Joe Highsmith
1%
Michael Kim
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Jeffrey Kang
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Adam Hadwin
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Chad Ramey
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Matt Kuchar
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Mac Meissner
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Taylor Moore
<1%
Jeremy Paul
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Paul Peterson
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Davis Riley
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Adrien Saddier
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Adam Schenk
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
12%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Lucas Glover
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Beau Hossler
<1%
Viktor Hovland
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Greg Koch
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
Eric Cole
<1%
Cam Davis
<1%
Henry Lebioda
-
Sung-Jae Im 22.2%
Matt Fitzpatrick 12.0%
David Lipsky 7.3%
Chandler Blanchet 6.0%
$138,140 Vol.
$138,140 Vol.
Sung-Jae Im
22%
Matt Fitzpatrick
12%
David Lipsky
7%
Chandler Blanchet
6%
Doug Ghim
6%
Jacob Bridgeman
6%
Brooks Koepka
5%
Marco Penge
4%
Xander Schauffele
3%
Corey Conners
3%
Tom Kim
2%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Max Homa
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Ricky Castillo
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Davis Chatfield
1%
Patrick Fishburn
1%
Emiliano Grillo
1%
Kensei Hirata
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Stephan Jaeger
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Blades Brown
25%
David Ford
1%
John Parry
1%
Chandler Phillips
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Ben Griffin
1%
Joe Highsmith
1%
Michael Kim
1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Ryo Hisatsune
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Jeffrey Kang
<1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Adam Hadwin
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Chad Ramey
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Max McGreevy
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Bud Cauley
<1%
Wyndham Clark
<1%
Steven Fisk
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Johnny Keefer
<1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
<1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
Akshay Bhatia
<1%
Michael Brennan
<1%
Matt Kuchar
<1%
Robert MacIntyre
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Matt McCarty
<1%
Mac Meissner
<1%
Keith Mitchell
<1%
Taylor Moore
<1%
Jeremy Paul
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Paul Peterson
<1%
Kristoffer Reitan
<1%
Davis Riley
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Adrien Saddier
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Adam Schenk
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
12%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Lucas Glover
<1%
Max Greyserman
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Beau Hossler
<1%
Viktor Hovland
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
Greg Koch
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
<1%
Eric Cole
<1%
Cam Davis
<1%
Henry Lebioda
-
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Blades Brown leads trader consensus at 25.9% implied probability for the Valspar Championship winner, buoyed by his strong opening rounds at Innisbrook's Copperhead Course, where precision iron play and putting have separated the field amid gusty winds. Matt McCarty (23.4%) and Thorbjorn Olesen (23.0%) lurk one stroke back, their recent form—including McCarty's hot putter and Olesen's ball-striking prowess—keeping the race tight with two rounds left. Sung-Jae Im and Jeremy Paul round out the top five under 22%, reflecting the bunched leaderboard after 36 holes, where no one holds more than a two-shot edge. Course history favors steady performers over big names like Fitzpatrick (11.6%), as Copperhead's narrow fairways punish errant drives, amplifying volatility in final-day pairings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions