Unruly-Real

가입일 Jan 2021·2 조회수

$197.23

포지션 가치

$9.45

최대 수익

125

예측

손익

-$4.24

지난 하루

현재

US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 26.5¢

107.0 주

26.5¢

21.5¢

$23.01-$5.37 (-18.94%)

US recession by end of 2026?

Yes 26.5¢

107.0 주

$23.01-$5.37 (-18.94%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?

Yes 40¢

50.0 주

40¢

28¢

$14.00-$6.00 (-30%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027?

Yes 40¢

50.0 주

$14.00-$6.00 (-30%)

ECB rate hike in 2026?

Yes 33¢

10.0 주

33¢

93.5¢

$9.35$6.05 (183.33%)

ECB rate hike in 2026?

Yes 33¢

10.0 주

$9.35$6.05 (183.33%)

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Nothing 12¢

10.0 주

12¢

92.7¢

$9.27$8.07 (672.08%)

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Nothing 12¢

10.0 주

$9.27$8.07 (672.08%)

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

No 76.5¢

10.0 주

76.5¢

88.5¢

$8.85$1.20 (15.68%)

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

No 76.5¢

10.0 주

$8.85$1.20 (15.68%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 82.5¢

10.0 주

82.5¢

85.5¢

$8.55$0.30 (3.64%)

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 82.5¢

10.0 주

$8.55$0.30 (3.64%)

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Yes 17.9¢

35.0 주

17.9¢

21.2¢

$7.40$1.12 (17.87%)

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Yes 17.9¢

35.0 주

$7.40$1.12 (17.87%)

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Yes 45.5¢

10.0 주

45.5¢

69.5¢

$6.95$2.40 (52.73%)

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Yes 45.5¢

10.0 주

$6.95$2.40 (52.73%)

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 29.3¢

20.0 주

29.3¢

33.5¢

$6.70$0.85 (14.53%)

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 29.3¢

20.0 주

$6.70$0.85 (14.53%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 11.7¢

15.0 주

11.7¢

43.5¢

$6.53$4.78 (272.86%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 11.7¢

15.0 주

$6.53$4.78 (272.86%)

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Yes 13.5¢

65.0 주

13.5¢

9.1¢

$5.92-$2.83 (-32.4%)

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Yes 13.5¢

65.0 주

$5.92-$2.83 (-32.4%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?

Yes 3.7¢

100.0 주

3.7¢

5.9¢

$5.85$2.15 (58.11%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?

Yes 3.7¢

100.0 주

$5.85$2.15 (58.11%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?

Yes 11.6¢

56.7 주

11.6¢

10¢

$5.67-$0.93 (-14.12%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?

Yes 11.6¢

56.7 주

$5.67-$0.93 (-14.12%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?

Yes 5¢

110.0 주

5¢

$5.45-$0.05 (-1%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?

Yes 5¢

110.0 주

$5.45-$0.05 (-1%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 51¢

5.0 주

51¢

91¢

$4.54$2.00 (78.43%)

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

No 51¢

5.0 주

$4.54$2.00 (78.43%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 17.9¢

28.0 주

17.9¢

16.2¢

$4.52-$0.48 (-9.59%)

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 17.9¢

28.0 주

$4.52-$0.48 (-9.59%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 17.7¢

6.3 주

17.7¢

70.5¢

$4.45$3.33 (298.01%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 17.7¢

6.3 주

$4.45$3.33 (298.01%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?

Yes 19.5¢

40.0 주

19.5¢

10¢

$4.00-$3.80 (-48.72%)

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?

Yes 19.5¢

40.0 주

$4.00-$3.80 (-48.72%)

Canada recession before 2027?

Yes 31¢

20.0 주

31¢

18.5¢

$3.70-$2.50 (-40.32%)

Canada recession before 2027?

Yes 31¢

20.0 주

$3.70-$2.50 (-40.32%)

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

No 11¢

5.0 주

11¢

71.5¢

$3.58$3.03 (550%)

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

No 11¢

5.0 주

$3.58$3.03 (550%)