Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean rooted in its rural Southside composition and recent electoral history, supporting trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 72 percent. Incumbent Representative John McGuire, who captured the seat in 2024, faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic hopefuls including former Representative Tom Perriello compete in their own primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election as solidly or likely Republican, reflecting limited shifts from broader state trends or national conditions as of May 2026. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent disruptions keep the outcome probabilities anchored in the district's established partisan profile.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$52,617 거래량
$52,617 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
72%
민주당
28%
$52,617 거래량
$52,617 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$24,221 거래량
72%
민주당
$28,397 거래량
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean rooted in its rural Southside composition and recent electoral history, supporting trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 72 percent. Incumbent Representative John McGuire, who captured the seat in 2024, faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic hopefuls including former Representative Tom Perriello compete in their own primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election as solidly or likely Republican, reflecting limited shifts from broader state trends or national conditions as of May 2026. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent disruptions keep the outcome probabilities anchored in the district's established partisan profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$52,617종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean rooted in its rural Southside composition and recent electoral history, supporting trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 72 percent. Incumbent Representative John McGuire, who captured the seat in 2024, faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic hopefuls including former Representative Tom Perriello compete in their own primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election as solidly or likely Republican, reflecting limited shifts from broader state trends or national conditions as of May 2026. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent disruptions keep the outcome probabilities anchored in the district's established partisan profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$52,617종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 5th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican lean rooted in its rural Southside composition and recent electoral history, supporting trader consensus around the Republican nominee at 72 percent. Incumbent Representative John McGuire, who captured the seat in 2024, faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero ahead of the August 4 contest, while Democratic hopefuls including former Representative Tom Perriello compete in their own primary. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the general election as solidly or likely Republican, reflecting limited shifts from broader state trends or national conditions as of May 2026. The November 3 general election timeline and absence of major recent disruptions keep the outcome probabilities anchored in the district's established partisan profile.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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