Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 75% in Virginia's 5th Congressional District House race due to a Virginia Supreme Court ruling today blocking implementation of a voter-approved mid-decade redistricting plan from April 21, preserving the current map where the district leans Republican by about 12 points based on Trump's 2024 margin. Incumbent Rep. John McGuire benefits from strong fundraising exceeding $1.2 million and incumbency advantage in this rural, conservative-leaning battleground spanning Charlottesville to Danville. Democratic frontrunner Tom Perriello, a former congressman, has consolidated primary support with robust fundraising but faces structural hurdles absent favorable polling shifts before the August primaries and November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$51,556 거래량
$51,556 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
75%
민주당
23%
$51,556 거래량
$51,556 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$23,568 거래량
75%
민주당
$27,988 거래량
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 75% in Virginia's 5th Congressional District House race due to a Virginia Supreme Court ruling today blocking implementation of a voter-approved mid-decade redistricting plan from April 21, preserving the current map where the district leans Republican by about 12 points based on Trump's 2024 margin. Incumbent Rep. John McGuire benefits from strong fundraising exceeding $1.2 million and incumbency advantage in this rural, conservative-leaning battleground spanning Charlottesville to Danville. Democratic frontrunner Tom Perriello, a former congressman, has consolidated primary support with robust fundraising but faces structural hurdles absent favorable polling shifts before the August primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
거래량
$51,556종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 75% in Virginia's 5th Congressional District House race due to a Virginia Supreme Court ruling today blocking implementation of a voter-approved mid-decade redistricting plan from April 21, preserving the current map where the district leans Republican by about 12 points based on Trump's 2024 margin. Incumbent Rep. John McGuire benefits from strong fundraising exceeding $1.2 million and incumbency advantage in this rural, conservative-leaning battleground spanning Charlottesville to Danville. Democratic frontrunner Tom Perriello, a former congressman, has consolidated primary support with robust fundraising but faces structural hurdles absent favorable polling shifts before the August primaries and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$51,556종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 75% in Virginia's 5th Congressional District House race due to a Virginia Supreme Court ruling today blocking implementation of a voter-approved mid-decade redistricting plan from April 21, preserving the current map where the district leans Republican by about 12 points based on Trump's 2024 margin. Incumbent Rep. John McGuire benefits from strong fundraising exceeding $1.2 million and incumbency advantage in this rural, conservative-leaning battleground spanning Charlottesville to Danville. Democratic frontrunner Tom Perriello, a former congressman, has consolidated primary support with robust fundraising but faces structural hurdles absent favorable polling shifts before the August primaries and November general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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